TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roehampton: Christian Langmo vs Gabi Boitan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gabi Boitanof Christian Langmo, Gabi Boitan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Christian Langmo45c16,156$7,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,240.5511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Gabi Boitan51c13,243$6,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,540.448855.9%273 W · 215 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Gabi Boitan45c6,698$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,693.847252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Christian Langmo48c5,115$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.388,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Gabi Boitan53c5,012$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.7663648%305 W · 331 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed Gabi Boitan70c3,800$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1404254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Christian Langmo1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20517.8%4 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Gabi Boitan72c1,955$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.45977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Christian Langmo12c1,878$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.369737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Christian Langmo35c1,876$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.598,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Christian Langmo36c1,650$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.94,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Christian Langmo1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eb6…8b20backed Christian Langmo7c1,457$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026710.4%7 W · 60 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Gabi Boitan73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37810446.2%48 W · 56 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Christian Langmo14c1,333$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.254,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Gabi Boitan71c1,044$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.5872147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a2…a5ffbacked Christian Langmo54c904.23$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.8715135.1%53 W · 98 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Christian Langmo47c850.51$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8727148%130 W · 141 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Christian Langmo11c824.55$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.74,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Christian Langmo50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014151.1%72 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Gabi Boitan71c780.14$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.2436946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Christian Langmo12c704.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.871,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Christian Langmo29c648.5$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Christian Langmo30c603.24$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.745,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Gabi Boitan72c518.87$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.599,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Gabi Boitan71c487.41$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.661,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Christian Langmo30c432.51$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7988358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Gabi Boitan71c422.94$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.891,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Christian Langmo3c419.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3878838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70fb…946bbacked Gabi Boitan52c417.94$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.616243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Christian Langmo28c399.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11214142.6%60 W · 81 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Christian Langmo34c399.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13753644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5411…cce0backed Gabi Boitan44c387.73$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.731546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Christian Langmo31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Christian Langmo10c315.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.061,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa177…4b0dbacked Christian Langmo29c275.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013525.9%35 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8969…2a77backed Gabi Boitan75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.676976.8%53 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Christian Langmo23c264.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.23,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Christian Langmo25c236.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.951,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Christian Langmo30c217.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.821,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Christian Langmo48c205.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7637547.2%177 W · 198 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Christian Langmo27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5419131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…2fd1backed Christian Langmo27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505058%29 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Christian Langmo55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Christian Langmo55c174.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0530150.2%151 W · 150 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Christian Langmo28c172.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.791,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Gabi Boitan75c165.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8630268.9%208 W · 94 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Christian Langmo15c158.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9944729.3%131 W · 316 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Christian Langmo19c149.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810233.3%34 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Gabi Boitan43c149.3$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.128954.3%157 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Christian Langmo19c147.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.392,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7079…58e8backed Christian Langmo37c143.3$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0214148.2%68 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Gabi Boitan75c133.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9816467.1%110 W · 54 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe819…2a5bbacked Christian Langmo8c132.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112433.3%8 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Christian Langmo48c117.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5642546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Christian Langmo48c108.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.235357.2%202 W · 151 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Christian Langmo47c106.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2887741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Christian Langmo57c105.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6035164.7%227 W · 124 L+20.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Gabi Boitan44c104.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2327744.4%123 W · 154 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Christian Langmo29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032747.7%156 W · 171 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Christian Langmo56c102.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8355347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Christian Langmo56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Christian Langmo28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2839844.2%176 W · 222 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Gabi Boitan56c99.07$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.321,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Gabi Boitan72c96.22$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2218968.8%130 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Gabi Boitan44c90.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.955,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Gabi Boitan44c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.469545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Gabi Boitan74c77$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.236,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…c6b9backed Gabi Boitan70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217357.5%42 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Christian Langmo57c68.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.494,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2516…51edbacked Gabi Boitan74c66.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1715374.5%114 W · 39 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Christian Langmo55c64.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3114945%67 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58b…dd02backed Christian Langmo30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184930.6%15 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Christian Langmo51c59.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3234864.1%223 W · 125 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Gabi Boitan66c58.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8345566.4%302 W · 153 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Gabi Boitan44c54.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.397,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbae1…a7b6backed Gabi Boitan52c52.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.348732.2%28 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Christian Langmo57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3081256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4bc7…dc5bbacked Gabi Boitan46c52.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.411361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Christian Langmo24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220039%78 W · 122 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed Christian Langmo57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.521056.2%118 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeed…3aecbacked Christian Langmo40c47.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.051855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Christian Langmo50c47.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0514536.6%53 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Christian Langmo54c44.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.076,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Gabi Boitan78c44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.761,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b2…9980backed Christian Langmo27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.822143.9%97 W · 124 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Christian Langmo51c39.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f5…1b50backed Christian Langmo55c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945b…fcbcbacked Christian Langmo32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd7…1735backed Christian Langmo48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513966.2%92 W · 47 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Christian Langmo55c30.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720558.5%120 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9f…a6c0backed Christian Langmo36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6515742.7%67 W · 90 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Gabi Boitan45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.510437.5%39 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Christian Langmo50c27.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7725951.7%134 W · 125 L+1.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Gabi Boitan71c27.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0978957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Christian Langmo37c27.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2948947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Christian Langmo55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5450…3e57backed Gabi Boitan74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe117…1b4bbacked Gabi Boitan74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.032065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6300…f2f8backed Christian Langmo48c24.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.