MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a8dbdee577d84bf67d2db94b10a0845fed6eb4a6c1f11492e2b8a9cb162808a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Dodgers, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $649,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $689,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $649,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 45c | 141,587$63,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,516.81 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Dodgers | 56c | 122,742$68,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,891.63 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Orioles | 44c | 64,475$28,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,231.3 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Dodgers | 55c | 44,800$24,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,640 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 38c | 37,124$14,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,101.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Dodgers | 56c | 26,916$15,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,073.17 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 64c | 23,119$14,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,753.91 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Dodgers | 55c | 22,447$12,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,254.26 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 44c | 14,858$6,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,320.3 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 25c | 14,372$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.17 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers | 56c | 11,500$6,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,440 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers | 55c | 10,500$5,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,775 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers | 56c | 8,729$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.82 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dodgers | 56c | 6,495$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,622.39 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Dodgers | 57c | 6,088$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.41 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Orioles | 40c | 5,137$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.77 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Orioles | 42c | 5,011$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 57c | 4,779$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.27 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 29c | 4,450$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 46c | 4,235$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.9 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Dodgers | 58c | 3,711$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.38 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Dodgers | 56c | 3,300$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Dodgers | 56c | 2,379$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.99 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Dodgers | 56c | 2,161$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.74 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Dodgers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Dodgers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Dodgers | 68c | 1,612$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Orioles | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Dodgers | 69c | 1,566$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.96 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dodgers | 55c | 1,300$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Dodgers | 57c | 1,162$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 45c | 1,094$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.97 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Orioles | 34c | 1,088$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.54 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Orioles | 42c | 1,072$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.13 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Dodgers | 58c | 1,040$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.96 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Orioles | 42c | 1,004$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.3 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dodgers | 72c | 945.11$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Orioles | 43c | 937.5$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 37c | 918.91$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.37 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Orioles | 11c | 904.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.18 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Orioles | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Dodgers | 57c | 880.42$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.84 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…79afbacked Dodgers | 58c | 829.14$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 42c | 799.97$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Dodgers | 59c | 777.98$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Dodgers | 58c | 689$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.62 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Dodgers | 68c | 629.75$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.44 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Dodgers | 57c | 606.2$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.15 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Dodgers | 56c | 577$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.12 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Dodgers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Orioles | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Dodgers | 61c | 491.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 41c | 484.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.75 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Orioles | 43c | 466$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.62 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dodgers | 67c | 456$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 42c | 416.16$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.37 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Dodgers | 51c | 408$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Orioles | 43c | 406.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.98 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 42c | 400.03$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.02 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers | 56c | 385$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Orioles | 6c | 380$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.2 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Dodgers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 41c | 340.63$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.97 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Orioles | 8c | 322.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.11 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Orioles | 28c | 319.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Dodgers | 58c | 313.79$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Dodgers | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Dodgers | 58c | 293.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 45c | 287.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Orioles | 43c | 286.05$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.05 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 56c | 265.91$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.91 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…aa7bbacked Dodgers | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Orioles | 42c | 244$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Orioles | 41c | 242.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Dodgers | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Dodgers | 58c | 229.31$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Dodgers | 57c | 227.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.77 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Dodgers | 57c | 216$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed00…5613backed Orioles | 33c | 202.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Orioles | 50c | 201.56$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.78 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Orioles | 22c | 201.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Orioles | 25c | 200.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.98 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Dodgers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Orioles | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Dodgers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Dodgers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Dodgers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Dodgers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Dodgers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Orioles | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Orioles | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Dodgers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5daebacked Orioles | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…02fabacked Orioles | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…3068backed Orioles | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…963ebacked Orioles | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e84cbacked Orioles | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dodgers vs. Oriolesthis page
- Dodgers vs. Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Dodgers vs. OriolesYes won
- Spread: Dodgers (-1.5)Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.