MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f51f09ffa57de0ba99d097bfa81cd2f616ac5b5cb1100a53d70c909e2cf7382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Reds | 57c | 30,271$17,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,254.62 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 28,500$12,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,245 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cardinals | 53c | 10,981$5,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,139.33 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 38c | 6,093$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Reds | 45c | 5,100$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.47 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 4,890$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Reds | 57c | 3,688$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.16 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cardinals | 49c | 3,643$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.74 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Reds | 39c | 3,368$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.5 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Reds | 37c | 3,096$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.57 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Reds | 41c | 2,908$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.94 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals | 52c | 2,471$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Reds | 48c | 2,187$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.23 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 57c | 2,126$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.61 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 42c | 1,797$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.25 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Reds | 48c | 1,708$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.27 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Reds | 57c | 1,494$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.38 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Reds | 56c | 1,233$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.53 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Reds | 9c | 1,143$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Cardinals | 54c | 946.69$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.75 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Reds | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Cardinals | 43c | 783.91$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.91 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 56c | 744.44$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.88 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cardinals | 43c | 694.12$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.65 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 45c | 670.54$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.03 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Reds | 70c | 666.6$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.62 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Cardinals | 79c | 638.31$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.76 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Reds | 31c | 580.87$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.07 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 56c | 474.09$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.49 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 57c | 470.86$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.39 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 43c | 465.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.11 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Reds | 57c | 450$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 63c | 381.52$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Reds | 55c | 367.38$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.57 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Reds | 38c | 347.42$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Reds | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 45c | 318.24$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 73c | 305$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.35 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 38c | 260.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Reds | 8c | 257.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Reds | 20c | 249.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cardinals | 42c | 237.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.03 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 42c | 214$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Reds | 37c | 211.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Cardinals | 61c | 206.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Reds | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Cardinals | 32c | 177.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.02 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Reds | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Cardinals | 43c | 172$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Reds | 58c | 171.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Reds | 28c | 163.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cardinals | 31c | 162.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Reds | 58c | 158$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Cardinals | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cardinals | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cardinals | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cardinals | 55c | 135.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d68cbacked Reds | 68c | 131.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cardinals | 70c | 131.84$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 48c | 124.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cardinals | 42c | 118$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…f6edbacked Cardinals | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Cardinals | 44c | 113$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cardinals | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Cardinals | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Reds | 31c | 97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Cardinals | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Reds | 56c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 44c | 82.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Cardinals | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 42c | 77.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Cardinals | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Reds | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Reds | 36c | 58.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Cardinals | 61c | 50.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Cardinals | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Reds | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Cardinals | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Reds | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Cardinals | 71c | 43.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Cardinals | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Reds | 58c | 36.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Cardinals | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Reds | 57c | 34.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Cardinals | 41c | 31.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Cardinals | 43c | 30.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Cardinals | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Reds | 50c | 29.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Reds | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Reds | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Cardinals | 66c | 24.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Reds | 59c | 21.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Reds | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Redsthis page
- Cardinals vs. Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.