MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30619bdbabea6bcbddd47c0572ac7c98e6e77496d8ba00a7d27515acd5d83ae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Mets, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,257,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,249,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,257,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Reds | 46c | 1,012,750$470,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542,076.91 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets | 53c | 292,528$155,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,389.8 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Mets | 54c | 185,136$99,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,973.34 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 54c | 151,128$81,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,850.53 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mets | 53c | 120,250$64,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,178.5 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 54c | 61,776$33,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,149.24 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mets | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,500 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 54c | 50,000$26,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,750 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Reds | 46c | 41,508$19,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,414.15 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 55c | 38,500$21,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,015 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 45c | 30,379$13,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,644.26 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Reds | 46c | 24,222$11,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,143.43 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 53c | 22,000$11,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,660 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 53c | 17,304$9,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,171.25 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 26c | 16,345$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 42c | 15,429$6,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,490.71 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Mets | 53c | 12,907$6,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,840.71 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mets | 52c | 12,514$6,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,515.43 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Mets | 54c | 11,885$6,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,462.67 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mets | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.94 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 54c | 8,600$4,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,644 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mets | 5c | 8,224$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.29 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Reds | 46c | 7,830$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.62 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 55c | 6,722$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.62 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 54c | 6,493$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.94 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 54c | 5,616$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.64 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Mets | 53c | 5,472$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Reds | 44c | 5,021$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mets | 54c | 4,982$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.22 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Reds | 45c | 4,330$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.53 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Mets | 55c | 3,939$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.45 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Reds | 77c | 3,704$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.49 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 50c | 3,500$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Reds | 45c | 3,464$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.07 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mets | 56c | 3,336$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.31 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Mets | 33c | 3,217$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Mets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mets | 54c | 2,849$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.46 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mets | 45c | 2,250$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mets | 53c | 1,770$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.1 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 47c | 1,704$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Reds | 56c | 1,702$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.87 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mets | 54c | 1,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Reds | 44c | 1,350$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Mets | 55c | 1,317$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.35 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Mets | 3c | 1,283$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Mets | 22c | 1,118$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 32c | 1,114$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Reds | 44c | 1,088$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.28 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d8…655abacked Mets | 6c | 1,032$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mets | 55c | 1,004$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.2 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Mets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mets | 28c | 907.67$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.73 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mets | 55c | 882$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.1 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Reds | 46c | 872.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.72 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Reds | 44c | 745$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.2 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 55c | 726.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.85 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 49c | 672.35$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Reds | 49c | 574.15$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.11 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mets | 55c | 574$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.87 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 71c | 542.52$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.14 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 42c | 525.92$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.28 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Reds | 46c | 521.72$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.73 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Mets | 44c | 504$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…aa7bbacked Mets | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Mets | 54c | 490.74$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mets | 21c | 479$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Reds | 45c | 450$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 45c | 444.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 46c | 442.47$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.94 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Reds | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Reds | 47c | 426$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Mets | 35c | 401.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21a…53f7backed Mets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 44c | 399.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mets | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Reds | 68c | 362.73$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 54c | 339.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.42 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Mets | 15c | 325$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 11c | 310.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Mets | 56c | 303.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Reds | 46c | 289.13$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.13 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 46c | 281.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Mets | 4c | 275$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 45c | 231.11$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Mets | 55c | 206.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Reds | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mets | 47c | 189.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Mets | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Mets | 56c | 187.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mets | 54c | 182$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Mets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Mets | 53c | 171$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Mets | 15c | 170.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Redsthis page
- Mets vs. Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.