TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Marlins vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marlinsof Marlins, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce1f…41a9backed Marlins69c67,281$46,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,951.954858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Angels37c21,245$7,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,843.5386751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Angels30c19,448$5,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,776.32,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Angels62c17,646$10,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,925.5211746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins37c8,073$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,085.832,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins38c7,964$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,937.861,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins35c6,296$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,065.861,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Angels63c5,765$3,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,653.0221356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels30c4,799$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.861,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Marlins38c4,734$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.369249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a2…3b96backed Marlins67c4,208$2,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.725461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Angels2c3,716$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.884632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Angels2c3,650$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6812314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Angels0c3,124$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71504%2 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-86.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Angels4c2,629$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x982a…48aebacked Angels8c2,480$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.041050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Angels28c2,344$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.6520523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Angels62c2,316$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.9215553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Angels56c2,277$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.2516151.6%83 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Angels40c2,152$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86617136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Angels64c1,913$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.3243654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…f7d7backed Marlins36c1,861$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Angels55c1,653$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.1715749.7%78 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Angels63c1,600$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00826453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2430…7473backed Angels3c1,520$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Marlins34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.5931248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins42c1,437$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.6595930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Angels56c1,371$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.626645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Angels56c1,252$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.2319239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb358…e547backed Marlins39c1,200$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.995250%26 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Marlins39c1,152$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.7139436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Marlins68c1,100$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.2741643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Angels46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Angels1c1,050$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels31c1,025$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.069,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Angels20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Marlins39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61020450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Marlins58c1,000$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.753943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Angels68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68014150.4%71 W · 70 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Angels60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Marlins50c906$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.841,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Angels63c841$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.8376456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Marlins37c810.74$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.7543250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Marlins35c781.39$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.035,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Marlins79c761.65$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9517866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Marlins39c745.06$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.4923752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Angels38c704.27$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.8930928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Angels55c700$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.892,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Angels53c663.65$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.375349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Marlins38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37268656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Angels68c588.24$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40080955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Angels21c544.19$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11532832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Angels26c534.48$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.091,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Marlins40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Angels61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Marlins38c499.98$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9833349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Angels61c360.66$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb58d…818ebacked Angels41c343.03$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.664146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Angels5c337.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.599824.5%24 W · 74 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels60c333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.82,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Angels61c320$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9113359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73b9…ecc4backed Angels46c312.54$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.57650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…3bcabacked Angels39c303.43$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.984856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Marlins48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins34c294.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5185047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Marlins57c293.7$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3663942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Angels55c281$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7997950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ceb…0c87backed Marlins47c214.89$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Angels57c213.76$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4825835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x638a…49f4backed Marlins61c201.61$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.61850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Angels50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Angels69c199$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.318530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Angels74c194.32$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9710255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins43c175$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0645248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Angels65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ba…eda7backed Angels68c151.88$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f14…b199backed Marlins66c150.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce6…e1b0backed Angels61c140.1$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Angels20c130$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2622312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70d3…b6f2backed Angels54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Angels67c107.31$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.97548%36 W · 39 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Marlins36c99.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9920448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Marlins35c99.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9924250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Angels61c90$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.949450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Marlins40c88.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.231,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins34c88.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0870841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Angels64c78.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5094455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c0e…551ebacked Angels65c76.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54344.2%19 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17e7…c4bdbacked Marlins37c75.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.681662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Marlins36c74.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.994358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3b…f625backed Marlins55c73.64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.147935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Marlins57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1820645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Marlins69c65.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6217744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Angels55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3554441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d9d…3585backed Angels60c56.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Angels63c54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0251955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Marlins39c50.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.699445.7%43 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca2…55e4backed Marlins43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.57154.9%39 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Marlins28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3617732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.