NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdd8f53578fd3ea2aa86c99ef8ba24d6190180bb21d4adc23e363680ef4ab3e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Grizzlies, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $481,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $526,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Grizzlies | 12c | 81,099$9,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,961.18 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…cf9cbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 44,213$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Grizzlies | 11c | 21,729$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.19 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 0c | 20,975$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Grizzlies | 1c | 19,717$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Grizzlies | 13c | 17,900$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Grizzlies | 5c | 16,761$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.01 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Grizzlies | 12c | 9,823$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.23 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Grizzlies | 2c | 6,370$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 7c | 5,629$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 5,350$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Grizzlies | 2c | 5,325$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Grizzlies | 0c | 5,150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Grizzlies | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Grizzlies | 10c | 5,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7490…f3efbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 3,286$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 3,003$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.02 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Grizzlies | 8c | 3,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 2,764$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.04 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…7f4cbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 2,610$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 2,436$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Grizzlies | 1c | 2,400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Grizzlies | 1c | 2,202$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Grizzlies | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…1dafbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 1,850$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…d268backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,800$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Grizzlies | 13c | 1,791$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Grizzlies | 3c | 1,683$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…f8e8backed Grizzlies | 13c | 1,667$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,260$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Grizzlies | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies | 11c | 999.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 999.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Grizzlies | 10c | 909$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Grizzlies | 10c | 877.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Grizzlies | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411c…e9c0backed Grizzlies | 2c | 820$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 107 | 24.3%26 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies | 12c | 817.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…75c3backed Grizzlies | 12c | 801.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Grizzlies | 6c | 800$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Grizzlies | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e00…25acbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Grizzlies | 15c | 674.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Grizzlies | 8c | 426.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Grizzlies | 5c | 402$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163c…2af1backed Grizzlies | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Grizzlies | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Grizzlies | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Grizzlies | 11c | 384$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…a0bfbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 354$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…9054backed Grizzlies | 13c | 349.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd938…f16bbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 323.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…450abacked Grizzlies | 13c | 321.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…3dd0backed Grizzlies | 13c | 317.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Grizzlies | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbc…3620backed Grizzlies | 13c | 269.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…c78fbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 266.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4289…3df1backed Grizzlies | 13c | 253.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Grizzlies | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Grizzlies | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 238$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968c…1e04backed Grizzlies | 13c | 235.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc17…2a3bbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 232.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…5243backed Grizzlies | 13c | 213.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e9…4614backed Grizzlies | 9c | 207$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…b988backed Grizzlies | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Grizzlies | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…cb52backed Grizzlies | 13c | 189.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Grizzlies | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 352 | 35.2%124 W · 228 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Grizzlies | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…05cabacked Grizzlies | 13c | 173.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…ec42backed Grizzlies | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1860…8344backed Grizzlies | 13c | 166$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9b…5590backed Grizzlies | 12c | 161.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e5…7d39backed Grizzlies | 12c | 161.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…00c4backed Grizzlies | 12c | 159.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Grizzlies | 11c | 148.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Grizzlies | 13c | 146.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…c14abacked Grizzlies | 13c | 145.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -61%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…0b9ebacked Grizzlies | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…e12fbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Grizzlies | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Grizzlies | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…d16ebacked Grizzlies | 12c | 107.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…4130backed Grizzlies | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…80a4backed Grizzlies | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Grizzlies | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Grizzlies | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…ea30backed Grizzlies | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…fc2abacked Grizzlies | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf30…8c02backed Grizzlies | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe225…0644backed Grizzlies | 13c | 91.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…a1ebbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 90.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.