UFC · resolved market

Burns vs. Morales

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10913415d5c4f17ebc791ca9b019d6aa6240ba08d4ba6509d12b2be9709d6070

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Moralesof Burns, Morales
Resolved: May 18, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $97,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $102,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,548 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xde04…fa37backed Burns	20c	10,243$2,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,093.7	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-15.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Burns	19c	9,707$1,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,838.37	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Burns	21c	9,174$1,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,893.54	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Morales	77c	8,000$6,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,809.99	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Burns	17c	6,562$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.35	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Burns	9c	3,498$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.79	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Morales	77c	3,195$2,448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.14	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Morales	78c	3,127$2,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.67	115	40%46 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Burns	19c	3,110$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.8	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Morales	75c	3,054$2,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$763.4	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Burns	25c	3,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Morales	78c	1,981$1,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.77	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Burns	21c	1,058$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.27	181	45.3%82 W · 99 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Burns	16c	1,035$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.65	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Burns	23c	1,000$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.98	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Morales	78c	1,000$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Morales	78c	979.85$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.37	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Burns	17c	928.24$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.32	210	31.9%67 W · 143 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked Burns	24c	876.74$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.11	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf6…cf40backed Burns	18c	816.71$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.51	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Burns	19c	810.08$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.26	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Morales	76c	789.91$603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.34	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96c…40e1backed Burns	21c	719.17$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6acc…a608backed Burns	23c	652.17$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd7…7575backed Burns	23c	651.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-5.3wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Morales	79c	625$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.25	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Burns	20c	625$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.03	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Burns	22c	509.89$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.34	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Burns	19c	500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Burns	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	85	35.3%30 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc96…f63fbacked Burns	23c	496.79$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.13	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Burns	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	298	48.7%145 W · 153 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4297…52acbacked Burns	20c	460.65$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2105…c514backed Burns	22c	457.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Burns	11c	440$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-6.3wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3f1…35f4backed Burns	23c	437.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Burns	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	59cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Burns	22c	424.8$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.03	318	55%175 W · 143 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Burns	18c	412.57$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.42	194	18.6%36 W · 158 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e25…043ebacked Morales	78c	409$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.71	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-4.4wins	-0.37per pick	70cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd0e1…3600backed Burns	23c	347.83$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf516…901abacked Burns	22c	336.36$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f31…cb74backed Burns	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ea…afc6backed Burns	21c	330.4$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Morales	80c	329$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.8	90	62.2%56 W · 34 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc38…e7c2backed Burns	17c	287.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Morales	79c	253.29$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.29	99	50.5%50 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Burns	18c	250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Burns	22c	240.91$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	91	24.2%22 W · 69 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ac…359bbacked Burns	22c	236.9$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcff8…bea7backed Burns	22c	230.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.9	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c8…770dbacked Burns	21c	230$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.3	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Morales	79c	200.37$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.08	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Burns	13c	195.8$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.45	195	31.8%62 W · 133 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd9…75b6backed Burns	22c	185.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41c…c9b3backed Burns	22c	181.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	97	37.1%36 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Morales	78c	177$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.17	209	33.5%70 W · 139 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Morales	78c	176$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.72	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Burns	23c	152.17$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	283	33.2%94 W · 189 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19c4…0129backed Burns	22c	150$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0679…bebbbacked Morales	79c	141.56$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.73	72	58.3%42 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977c…8b78backed Burns	16c	139.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc633…b4e7backed Burns	21c	126.48$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.56	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-4.8wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb1f0…e173backed Burns	15c	120$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2b…69a5backed Burns	21c	120$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a8f…f390backed Burns	22c	115.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	31cpaid	+32%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73b9…ecc4backed Burns	19c	110$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Burns	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Burns	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	140	52.1%73 W · 67 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac57…f164backed Burns	19c	99.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-32%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c4…c82cbacked Burns	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Burns	22c	90.35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed Burns	14c	83.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.71	75	41.3%31 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Morales	79c	80$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.7	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf950…486dbacked Burns	21c	71.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaade…64eabacked Burns	24c	69.75$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.74	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ad…561cbacked Burns	23c	65.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e75…3e5bbacked Burns	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf54c…d733backed Burns	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+31%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Burns	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-4.3wins	-0.20per pick	56cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Morales	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	79	60.8%48 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…0978backed Burns	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe645…345abacked Burns	21c	48$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Morales	79c	43$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.03	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x367d…06c5backed Burns	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4eb3…0e38backed Burns	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c45…47f1backed Morales	78c	30.63$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.74	190	65.3%124 W · 66 L	+9.7wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78f0…c63cbacked Morales	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	63cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Morales	80c	29.45$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.89	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	71cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafb7…75f4backed Morales	79c	27$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.67	76	55.3%42 W · 34 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1c…e2d3backed Morales	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Morales	80c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Burns vs. Moralesthis page
Erosa vs. CostaCosta won
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Santos vs. LisboaSantos won
Stoltzfus vs. RuziboevRuziboev won
Yusuff vs. SantosSantos won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Burns vs. Morales

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event