UFC · resolved market
Stoltzfus vs. Ruziboev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95c01726ddb6f96a9e55be60591a29cf5dac3ab870eeb3b1434fc1978bbd8787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruziboevof Stoltzfus, Ruziboev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x832d…d420backed Ruziboev | 73c | 7,215$5,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.18 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Stoltzfus | 32c | 5,572$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Stoltzfus | 27c | 5,331$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.53 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Stoltzfus | 28c | 5,171$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.6 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Stoltzfus | 31c | 4,881$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ruziboev | 68c | 4,485$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.22 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Ruziboev | 71c | 4,219$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.05 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Stoltzfus | 32c | 4,050$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.99 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Ruziboev | 73c | 3,394$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Ruziboev | 69c | 3,363$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.43 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Stoltzfus | 30c | 3,334$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.19 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Ruziboev | 72c | 2,501$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.17 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Stoltzfus | 30c | 2,099$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.98 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stoltzfus | 28c | 1,897$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.35 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…530ebacked Ruziboev | 70c | 1,614$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Ruziboev | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Stoltzfus | 4c | 1,332$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Stoltzfus | 29c | 1,067$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.36 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Stoltzfus | 28c | 981.14$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.31 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ruziboev | 67c | 923.67$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.42 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Ruziboev | 73c | 820.27$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.27 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Stoltzfus | 25c | 748.73$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.18 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c3…611abacked Ruziboev | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c9…6538backed Ruziboev | 72c | 695.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Ruziboev | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Ruziboev | 71c | 637.58$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.96 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ruziboev | 72c | 625$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ruziboev | 72c | 560$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Stoltzfus | 29c | 520.3$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stoltzfus | 32c | 501$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Ruziboev | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Stoltzfus | 32c | 469$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stoltzfus | 39c | 441$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…3600backed Ruziboev | 72c | 440.85$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Ruziboev | 70c | 425$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b28…95fcbacked Ruziboev | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Stoltzfus | 28c | 372.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stoltzfus | 28c | 371.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Stoltzfus | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Stoltzfus | 33c | 330$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.47 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Stoltzfus | 25c | 325$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Ruziboev | 72c | 305$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…ef17backed Ruziboev | 72c | 256.94$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Stoltzfus | 31c | 249.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Stoltzfus | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Stoltzfus | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Ruziboev | 71c | 175.93$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Ruziboev | 73c | 158.11$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Ruziboev | 69c | 155$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Stoltzfus | 29c | 153.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Stoltzfus | 29c | 151$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…4b7ebacked Ruziboev | 68c | 148.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Ruziboev | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Stoltzfus | 22c | 139.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Stoltzfus | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…cb74backed Stoltzfus | 28c | 106.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Ruziboev | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…0be8backed Stoltzfus | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Ruziboev | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Ruziboev | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Ruziboev | 72c | 87.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Stoltzfus | 30c | 83.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Ruziboev | 72c | 77.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Ruziboev | 69c | 76.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…f107backed Ruziboev | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Stoltzfus | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ruziboev | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Stoltzfus | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Ruziboev | 66c | 59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Ruziboev | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…25eebacked Ruziboev | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Stoltzfus | 36c | 40.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Stoltzfus | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Ruziboev | 72c | 37.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Ruziboev | 71c | 36.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Ruziboev | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Ruziboev | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Ruziboev | 72c | 34.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed Ruziboev | 69c | 33.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ruziboev | 67c | 30.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…c63cbacked Ruziboev | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Ruziboev | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…c3a1backed Ruziboev | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…23ddbacked Ruziboev | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Ruziboev | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135e…ddaebacked Ruziboev | 74c | 18.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025f…c1cfbacked Ruziboev | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79b…0fe0backed Ruziboev | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…b2adbacked Ruziboev | 74c | 17.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…b354backed Ruziboev | 74c | 17.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Ruziboev | 69c | 15.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…02babacked Ruziboev | 74c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6730…afe7backed Ruziboev | 74c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…b647backed Ruziboev | 74c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoltzfus vs. Ruziboevthis page
- Burns vs. MoralesMorales won
- Erosa vs. CostaCosta won
- Gordon vs. MoisésGordon won
- Green vs. CamiloGreen won
- Park vs. HernandezPark won
- Pennington vs. PinheiroPennington won
- Reed vs. GomesGomes won
- Santos vs. LisboaSantos won
- Yusuff vs. SantosSantos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.