UFC · resolved market
Yusuff vs. Santos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5c9e0b00a184fbd6ea8754945f838a59ce6e73e494326a27a49215d37edea31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santosof Yusuff, Santos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yusuff | 42c | 37,211$15,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,558.23 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08d8…bb1bbacked Santos | 55c | 25,108$13,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,298.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…d226backed Yusuff | 45c | 25,108$11,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,298.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Santos | 58c | 23,370$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,770.31 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Yusuff | 42c | 9,219$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.22 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Santos | 58c | 5,281$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.91 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Yusuff | 43c | 5,065$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.67 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…45eebacked Yusuff | 52c | 5,054$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.71 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Santos | 57c | 4,945$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Santos | 48c | 4,447$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.64 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Santos | 57c | 4,349$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Santos | 58c | 3,336$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.55 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Yusuff | 42c | 3,286$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Santos | 58c | 3,176$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.35 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yusuff | 7c | 3,140$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.73 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Santos | 57c | 3,086$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.05 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Santos | 59c | 2,803$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.29 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Yusuff | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Santos | 58c | 2,447$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Santos | 63c | 2,410$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.15 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Yusuff | 44c | 2,253$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Santos | 57c | 2,211$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.71 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Santos | 56c | 1,790$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.6 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Santos | 58c | 1,646$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Yusuff | 44c | 1,497$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.69 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yusuff | 39c | 1,215$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.8 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Yusuff | 42c | 1,071$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Santos | 57c | 1,023$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.81 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Santos | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Santos | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Santos | 57c | 814.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.45 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Santos | 58c | 721.8$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.07 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yusuff | 11c | 720.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yusuff | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yusuff | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yusuff | 41c | 666$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.06 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Santos | 52c | 636.23$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.39 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Santos | 60c | 627.6$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.04 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Santos | 57c | 591.23$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.23 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Yusuff | 44c | 525.62$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yusuff | 43c | 500.72$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.29 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Santos | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…d0ddbacked Yusuff | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yusuff | 43c | 462.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Santos | 68c | 450$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Santos | 56c | 319.84$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Yusuff | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yusuff | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5b…754abacked Santos | 60c | 258.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yusuff | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c3…611abacked Yusuff | 45c | 224.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yusuff | 43c | 217.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Santos | 57c | 205.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yusuff | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Yusuff | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Yusuff | 46c | 195$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yusuff | 15c | 193.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yusuff | 8c | 180$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Santos | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yusuff | 41c | 151.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Santos | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Santos | 56c | 143.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Santos | 57c | 136$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yusuff | 44c | 134.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…3600backed Santos | 60c | 134$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Santos | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Santos | 58c | 127.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yusuff | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa812…9c13backed Santos | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yusuff | 46c | 98.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Yusuff | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Santos | 58c | 93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Santos | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Santos | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Santos | 58c | 69.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Yusuff | 43c | 68.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…3859backed Yusuff | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…0d9abacked Santos | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Santos | 56c | 64.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Yusuff | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yusuff | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yusuff | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Santos | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Yusuff | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Yusuff | 55c | 45.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Yusuff | 47c | 42.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Santos | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…c3a1backed Santos | 57c | 28.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Yusuff | 43c | 24.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…dc1abacked Santos | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yusuff vs. Santosthis page
- Burns vs. MoralesMorales won
- Erosa vs. CostaCosta won
- Gordon vs. MoisésGordon won
- Green vs. CamiloGreen won
- Park vs. HernandezPark won
- Pennington vs. PinheiroPennington won
- Reed vs. GomesGomes won
- Santos vs. LisboaSantos won
- Stoltzfus vs. RuziboevRuziboev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.