Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bodo Glimt beat Qarabag?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf415488edcab4ac4f1ff863cc0dee19ac950b9c3e0a52d95184badf587f75df2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 41c | 616.34$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.35 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 43c | 600.15$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 40c | 561.54$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.73 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Yes | 57c | 249.86$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8f4bbacked Yes | 58c | 222.06$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 61c | 211.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 67c | 149.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 33c | 139.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 58c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…caccbacked Yes | 58c | 112.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed No | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 34c | 74.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 38c | 71.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…a1e0backed Yes | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 43c | 59.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…1d5abacked Yes | 57c | 56.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 57c | 54.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…bcbcbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…d6a6backed Yes | 59c | 49.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 56c | 34.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4896…4b46backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 38c | 31.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…40b7backed Yes | 56c | 27.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…5bd5backed Yes | 62c | 27.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6772…d1f6backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…793fbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd97…f6afbacked Yes | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa153…4e37backed Yes | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…8864backed Yes | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aff…c2c7backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bodo Glimt beat Qarabag?this page
- Will Qarabag beat Bodo Glimt?Yes won
- Will the match between Bodo Glimt and Qarabag end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.