Fifa International · resolved market
Will Canada beat Honduras?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bf80fbe0ea036b71d90350d5535296ea644a5c4274502fd131db506a679ed66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 72c | 1,252$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.18 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed No | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 28c | 396.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 30c | 380.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 28c | 347.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 35c | 286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…3602backed Yes | 71c | 185.3$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 70c | 143.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 30c | 107.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 67c | 73.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…2ab2backed Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 30c | 57.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Yes | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 71c | 42.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 71c | 42.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 70c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 251 | 60.6%152 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc710…afe5backed Yes | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada beat Honduras?this page
- Will Canada vs. Honduras end in a draw?No won
- Will Honduras beat Canada?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.