Fifa International · resolved market
Concacaf Gold Cup: Panama vs. Honduras (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd05adcb5881e9ae53ac86d15cd3f5eb5707e464a04e492b5fa0d19503e9ab1b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Honduras of Panama, Honduras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Panama | 73c | 1,111$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.03 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Honduras | 27c | 833.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.48 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Panama | 71c | 589$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.19 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Panama | 74c | 576.43$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.56 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Panama | 72c | 496.55$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.52 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Honduras | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Honduras | 27c | 360$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Panama | 71c | 346.48$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Honduras | 28c | 329.79$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.83 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked Panama | 72c | 282$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Panama | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Honduras | 26c | 104.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…9191backed Panama | 71c | 102$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Honduras | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5a…0c39backed Panama | 78c | 80.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…e37cbacked Panama | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Panama | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Honduras | 26c | 64.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Panama | 74c | 61.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…04a9backed Honduras | 33c | 56.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Panama | 74c | 35.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Panama | 74c | 33.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked Panama | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…abe0backed Panama | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.