Tennis · resolved market
ATP Los Cabos: Ficovich vs. Kovacevic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ac0f3a7e0bd3ea35159a7d2c68371171dd20575c9decbbb4c852f731502a74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kovacevicof Ficovich, Kovacevic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f42…6e40backed Ficovich | 35c | 14,254$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Kovacevic | 65c | 11,612$7,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,075.96 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kovacevic | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kovacevic | 65c | 960.3$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.21 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Kovacevic | 65c | 769.77$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.33 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ficovich | 9c | 749$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Ficovich | 36c | 670$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Kovacevic | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ficovich | 37c | 404.12$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…d4c3backed Ficovich | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Ficovich | 29c | 360$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ficovich | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kovacevic | 66c | 300$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Kovacevic | 69c | 115.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Kovacevic | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ficovich | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Ficovich | 30c | 99.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Ficovich | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Kovacevic | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Kovacevic | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…1a90backed Kovacevic | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…ae7cbacked Kovacevic | 68c | 43.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Kovacevic | 66c | 25.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…db19backed Kovacevic | 70c | 22.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.