MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83691b7382e105ce69946c782aa7a57086880063e67ddb0cf46057f987bef4f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Pirates, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 6c | 32,786$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.53 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Pirates | 25c | 6,830$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.21 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 48c | 6,171$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.95 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Pirates | 49c | 6,018$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.53 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 49c | 4,077$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.59 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pirates | 43c | 3,471$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.83 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Nationals | 59c | 3,436$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.76 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Nationals | 20c | 1,899$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.42 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…3a3fbacked Pirates | 53c | 1,641$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nationals | 47c | 1,582$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.67 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 42c | 1,566$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 9c | 1,436$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nationals | 53c | 1,395$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.65 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pirates | 51c | 1,174$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.58 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 50c | 1,135$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.65 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nationals | 50c | 1,042$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.48 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 49c | 999.89$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.54 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 44c | 820.92$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.64 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nationals | 39c | 807$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.83 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 51c | 784$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.16 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 51c | 707.61$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.88 | 1,359 | 50.8%690 W · 669 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 50c | 685.45$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.01 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Nationals | 51c | 650$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 42c | 590.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Nationals | 52c | 510$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 395 | 56.7%224 W · 171 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Pirates | 52c | 467$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.84 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pirates | 56c | 416.76$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…14e8backed Nationals | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Nationals | 52c | 382.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.72 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Nationals | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Pirates | 25c | 322.06$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 36c | 286.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Nationals | 50c | 268$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…ccbdbacked Pirates | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nationals | 47c | 217$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 52c | 210.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Nationals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Nationals | 80c | 195$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Nationals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Nationals | 52c | 166.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 51c | 163.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Nationals | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Pirates | 15c | 153.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 37c | 152.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…aef4backed Pirates | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Nationals | 22c | 145.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Pirates | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Nationals | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Nationals | 48c | 112$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Nationals | 52c | 109$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 2,058 | 53.8%1,107 W · 951 L | +33.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pirates | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…8cfbbacked Nationals | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Pirates | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Pirates | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pirates | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates | 49c | 98.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Pirates | 50c | 96.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 49c | 82.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Pirates | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Nationals | 51c | 76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Pirates | 62c | 72.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Nationals | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Nationals | 47c | 52.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…c6b6backed Nationals | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Pirates | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Pirates | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…466dbacked Nationals | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Pirates | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Nationals | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Pirates | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 389 | 51.2%199 W · 190 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Pirates | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Nationals | 48c | 35.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Nationals | 51c | 33.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Nationals | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Pirates | 49c | 30.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Nationals | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Nationals | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Pirates | 78c | 25.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Nationals | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Pirates | 79c | 18.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…c839backed Pirates | 62c | 16.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Nationalsthis page
- Pirates vs. Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.