MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42f2e0766b644d893ddc5d17f5a576a2fb9c5273e6fc0f919f1fb5b3fbb798c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 54c | 48,828$26,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,543.86 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Phillies | 47c | 27,500$12,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,636.36 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500.09 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Phillies | 46c | 20,100$9,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,854 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 7c | 20,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 16,510$8,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,758.31 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 14c | 15,197$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Phillies | 51c | 15,191$7,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,384.53 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks | 68c | 12,813$8,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,712.52 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 11,111$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.83 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 10,267$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.71 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Diamondbacks | 36c | 8,310$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.4 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 6,880$3,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phillies | 34c | 6,749$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,452.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Phillies | 47c | 6,717$3,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.77 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 6,112$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 74c | 5,405$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.41 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Phillies | 46c | 5,020$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Phillies | 68c | 4,982$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.94 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Diamondbacks | 21c | 4,849$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 4,711$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.47 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 3,599$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,045$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.66 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 2,016$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.18 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Phillies | 44c | 1,978$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.41 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,875$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.75 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks | 2c | 1,795$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,771$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.62 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,761$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.5 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,607$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.64 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Diamondbacks | 12c | 1,510$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.33 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,315$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.04 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Phillies | 46c | 1,295$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.55 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Phillies | 47c | 1,288$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.57 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 45c | 1,188$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.32 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks | 3c | 1,087$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 41c | 1,050$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 47c | 1,019$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.86 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Phillies | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Phillies | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 942.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.77 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 874.11$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 45c | 829.14$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.03 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 732.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Phillies | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Phillies | 47c | 641.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.16 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 34c | 545.1$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.46 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 45c | 525.16$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.77 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Phillies | 45c | 520.52$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.29 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Diamondbacks | 67c | 500$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 499.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Phillies | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 462.08$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.83 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 442.35$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.57 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Phillies | 48c | 420.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.13 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 397.85$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.84 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 375$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 349.09$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Phillies | 46c | 346$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.84 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 55c | 343.64$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.52 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Phillies | 42c | 318.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Phillies | 62c | 312.62$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Phillies | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 296$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.88 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Phillies | 75c | 268.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Phillies | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Phillies | 43c | 254.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.14 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 250$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Phillies | 47c | 246.81$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Phillies | 48c | 208.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Phillies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 205.56$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Diamondbacks | 67c | 200$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Diamondbacks | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Diamondbacks | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 29c | 192.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…1ff7backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 183.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 174.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Phillies | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Phillies | 47c | 163.49$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 156.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a11…aab3backed Phillies | 48c | 156.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Phillies | 42c | 152.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.94 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Diamondbacks | 21c | 147$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Diamondbacks | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Diamondbacks | 16c | 108$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Phillies | 46c | 106.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…5781backed Phillies | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phillies vs. Diamondbacksthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.