Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xece8b872cb87d7da42ffe6714b8c1807f9b4edf4858ab875d7088fa21784d720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Tech Red Raidersof Arizona Wildcats, Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 10,015$5,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.34 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 10,000$5,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,044.42 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 5,894$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.3 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 4,564$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.8 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Wildcats | 46c | 3,468$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.25 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 3,380$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.4 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 3,322$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.24 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 54c | 2,638$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.63 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Arizona Wildcats | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.78 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 2,029$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 1,962$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.16 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 1,888$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.51 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 1,197$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.58 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 59c | 903.89$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.13 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Arizona Wildcats | 13c | 733.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 68c | 700$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Arizona Wildcats | 26c | 700$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 625.64$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.65 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c1…9511backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 548.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Wildcats | 24c | 439.72$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 306$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…dc40backed Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 220.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Arizona Wildcats | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…ead8backed Arizona Wildcats | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 160.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Arizona Wildcats | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Arizona Wildcats | 19c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 118.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Arizona Wildcats | 52c | 117.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 57c | 116.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Arizona Wildcats | 49c | 107.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 104.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Arizona Wildcats | 49c | 76.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 57.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Arizona Wildcats | 35c | 38.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…78b8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 37.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 54c | 29.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3948…f81bbacked Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 20.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-9.5)this page
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona WildcatsTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 156.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 157.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.