NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eb2274153a4f1f79453c063dd8be3820b19ba49cb05d5fa6544f48a4ae6b802
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 47c | 18,026$8,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,553.98 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 53c | 11,337$6,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,008.78 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Over | 53c | 9,420$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 5,301$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.85 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 54c | 2,201$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.57 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Over | 53c | 2,145$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.85 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 52c | 2,113$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.09 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…bffcbacked Over | 53c | 1,070$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 804.33$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.4 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 47c | 639.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.77 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Over | 52c | 469.23$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 72c | 413.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 45c | 363.64$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 53c | 352$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 62c | 310$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 37c | 290$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 27c | 225.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 34c | 220$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 53c | 218.01$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 53c | 211.02$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.68 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 67c | 210$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…cc45backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 53c | 179$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 47c | 173.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 160$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Over | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 150.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 48c | 143.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Over | 43c | 107.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 99.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 77.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…9cdabacked Over | 53c | 62.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 45c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…9578backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 51c | 25.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 23.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 61c | 22.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5this page
- Jets vs. PanthersJets won
- Jets vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.