MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08722222fdfbea15f0aa8907624608bd24dd78f8fe3a6613bb3806f9d30b720d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Athletics, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Athletics | 50c | 34,688$17,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,294.59 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 52c | 27,034$14,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,881.55 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Blue Jays | 66c | 15,497$10,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 50c | 14,223$7,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,042.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Athletics | 47c | 11,770$5,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.1 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…69bbbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 9,996$6,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…7e3cbacked Athletics | 36c | 9,996$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Athletics | 30c | 7,160$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.5 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 35c | 3,520$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.07 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 34c | 3,303$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.11 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Athletics | 37c | 2,930$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Athletics | 43c | 2,140$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.51 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 54c | 2,070$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.73 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 29c | 2,046$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.23 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Athletics | 34c | 1,564$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.32 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Blue Jays | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 34c | 1,500$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Athletics | 35c | 1,481$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.35 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Athletics | 36c | 1,390$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Athletics | 52c | 1,301$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.66 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 3c | 1,261$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 45c | 1,130$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.26 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Athletics | 46c | 1,059$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Athletics | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays | 65c | 878.64$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.1 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Athletics | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 68c | 834.01$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.13 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 69c | 817$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.27 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 785.02$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.34 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Athletics | 27c | 776.83$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 51c | 771.03$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.22 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Athletics | 54c | 758.85$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.78 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 8c | 742.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Blue Jays | 31c | 733.61$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.84 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Athletics | 31c | 700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 34c | 580.53$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Athletics | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 36c | 499.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Blue Jays | 39c | 437.55$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.35 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Athletics | 28c | 426$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…ec19backed Athletics | 48c | 416.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…337fbacked Blue Jays | 40c | 406.58$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jays | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Athletics | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 33c | 363$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.79 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Blue Jays | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Athletics | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Blue Jays | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Blue Jays | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Blue Jays | 58c | 295.08$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Athletics | 58c | 285.93$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.19 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 64c | 268.75$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Athletics | 49c | 262.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 35c | 254$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…3f00backed Athletics | 34c | 240.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 7c | 232$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Athletics | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Blue Jays | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Athletics | 30c | 199.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…d5ccbacked Athletics | 25c | 163$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Athletics | 61c | 158.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Blue Jays | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Athletics | 59c | 151.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Athletics | 13c | 147$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Athletics | 34c | 147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 69c | 145.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Blue Jays | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb64…4eb4backed Athletics | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2737…1c07backed Athletics | 30c | 135.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Athletics | 73c | 133.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 130.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Athletics | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Athletics | 64c | 112.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Athletics | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Athletics | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Athletics | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Athletics | 49c | 90.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blue Jays | 64c | 89.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Athletics | 36c | 89.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Blue Jays | 59c | 88.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 33c | 84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…522fbacked Athletics | 35c | 77.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…3bc2backed Blue Jays | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb0…8de9backed Blue Jays | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Athletics | 61c | 74.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Blue Jays | 57c | 74.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…b3aebacked Athletics | 33c | 72.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Blue Jays | 71c | 72.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Athletics | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x150e…549bbacked Athletics | 36c | 66.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Blue Jays | 71c | 64.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 64c | 63.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed Blue Jays | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…540ebacked Athletics | 43c | 58.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 35c | 58.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Blue Jays | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.