Euroleague · resolved market
Olimpia Milano vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x486fd6521ee13a305f526ac7db19f480f8f12289df539471e90100134e9589f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hapoel Tel Avivof Olimpia Milano, Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Olimpia Milano | 40c | 4,038$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 64c | 3,418$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.56 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Olimpia Milano | 53c | 3,000$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 2,976$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.87 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 35c | 2,902$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.49 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 66c | 1,615$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.95 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 1,435$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Olimpia Milano | 40c | 1,000$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.78 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 58c | 992.48$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.87 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 773.41$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.05 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 55c | 539.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 403.83$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 255$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 59c | 226.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 177.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 160.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Olimpia Milano | 44c | 150.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Olimpia Milano | 21c | 135.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Olimpia Milano | 41c | 107.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…2b90backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Olimpia Milano | 45c | 93.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Olimpia Milano | 45c | 92.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Olimpia Milano | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 56c | 86.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Olimpia Milano | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…e714backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 62c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…48febacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 57c | 43.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Olimpia Milano | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…dae2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 42.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…ed5bbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 56c | 41.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…cab9backed Olimpia Milano | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…561fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…1c25backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 37.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…effdbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 36.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Olimpia Milano | 42c | 35.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…018abacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 34.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Olimpia Milano | 43c | 34.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…e35fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 33.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744d…5095backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 31.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1177…c993backed Olimpia Milano | 40c | 27.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2299…6c6abacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 25.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…fa9fbacked Olimpia Milano | 44c | 25.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…e12abacked Olimpia Milano | 40c | 25.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1609…7b1fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.