TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Vanderbilt Commodores

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vanderbilt Commodoresof Kentucky Wildcats, Vanderbilt Commodores
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,383 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Vanderbilt Commodores74c39,421$29,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,081.3412364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33d0…f7ebbacked Kentucky Wildcats25c13,200$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kentucky Wildcats27c12,750$3,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,380.561,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Vanderbilt Commodores73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70024748.2%119 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kentucky Wildcats25c3,721$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.491,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Kentucky Wildcats27c2,956$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.051,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed Kentucky Wildcats26c2,313$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Kentucky Wildcats26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52013735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kentucky Wildcats17c1,830$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.715,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kentucky Wildcats29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Kentucky Wildcats26c1,350$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35127450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores72c1,300$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.492,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Kentucky Wildcats25c1,256$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.045750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kentucky Wildcats27c1,123$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.772,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Vanderbilt Commodores75c1,008$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25225946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Kentucky Wildcats25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011747.9%56 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Kentucky Wildcats28c941.38$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.5974649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Vanderbilt Commodores74c928$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.2860548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa55…06c0backed Kentucky Wildcats26c865.38$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kentucky Wildcats26c818.95$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.92,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Kentucky Wildcats29c768.41$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Vanderbilt Commodores75c757.34$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6124444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Vanderbilt Commodores78c741.62$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.733,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Vanderbilt Commodores71c730$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.74548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kentucky Wildcats25c701.8$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4540755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Kentucky Wildcats26c690$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.482048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Vanderbilt Commodores70c487.67$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.137346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kentucky Wildcats26c422.13$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.761,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Kentucky Wildcats25c400$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.586157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kentucky Wildcats25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Kentucky Wildcats26c391.65$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.833627.8%10 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Kentucky Wildcats26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Vanderbilt Commodores71c366.2$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.245351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Kentucky Wildcats23c295.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Kentucky Wildcats26c284.38$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9421347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Kentucky Wildcats28c284.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.585250%26 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8aa…6eb3backed Kentucky Wildcats4c283.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Kentucky Wildcats26c266.35$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7358345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Kentucky Wildcats27c250$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x713d…5da1backed Kentucky Wildcats30c230.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Kentucky Wildcats26c226.4$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.864,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Kentucky Wildcats28c225$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6319238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Kentucky Wildcats33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6631537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Vanderbilt Commodores67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6635452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Kentucky Wildcats27c167$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3414643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Kentucky Wildcats26c150.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1942339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Kentucky Wildcats27c138$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.264841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kentucky Wildcats24c123.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.763,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…65fabacked Kentucky Wildcats28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Vanderbilt Commodores72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Kentucky Wildcats25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Kentucky Wildcats29c92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.686544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Kentucky Wildcats28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Kentucky Wildcats23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-61.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Kentucky Wildcats26c63.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7119332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores71c61.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.975158.8%30 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Kentucky Wildcats25c59.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.961952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Kentucky Wildcats26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Kentucky Wildcats26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139144%40 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kentucky Wildcats26c49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.744,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Kentucky Wildcats28c46.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9113550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Kentucky Wildcats29c42.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3221651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd68…503bbacked Kentucky Wildcats26c39.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.261855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Vanderbilt Commodores69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.364658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a6…bbd5backed Vanderbilt Commodores71c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.413348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Vanderbilt Commodores74c28.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.220051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores74c27.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.07966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31e8…1dfabacked Vanderbilt Commodores74c27.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Vanderbilt Commodores71c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.832965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Vanderbilt Commodores73c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.022951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Vanderbilt Commodores73c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.024362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Vanderbilt Commodores75c25.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.414987.8%43 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick77cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores73c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.483964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores73c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.483253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66f7…2894backed Vanderbilt Commodores73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.942864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Vanderbilt Commodores74c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.469061.1%55 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vanderbilt Commodores70c19.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.741,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Vanderbilt Commodores71c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.513256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Vanderbilt Commodores74c18.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8510043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Vanderbilt Commodores71c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.932857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores75c16.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1417661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x38dc…4c5fbacked Vanderbilt Commodores73c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.321656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.