WNBA · resolved market
Liberty vs Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x851745812c41bdda92e2b5f5d96d236903b67cd5dce51eb7424c8c6b1f03feae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Liberty, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Liberty | 78c | 21,844$16,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,858.32 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Valkyries | 21c | 15,594$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.47 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liberty | 79c | 13,536$10,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.66 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Valkyries | 22c | 10,704$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.88 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 21c | 6,821$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.88 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Valkyries | 26c | 4,905$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.76 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Liberty | 78c | 4,808$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.84 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Liberty | 75c | 3,435$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Valkyries | 23c | 3,318$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.96 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Valkyries | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Liberty | 80c | 2,678$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.37 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Liberty | 73c | 2,228$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.42 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Valkyries | 21c | 2,152$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.94 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Liberty | 80c | 1,792$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.22 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Liberty | 80c | 1,331$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.12 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Valkyries | 20c | 1,100$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.05 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Valkyries | 25c | 1,080$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.2 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Valkyries | 21c | 1,071$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Liberty | 76c | 1,053$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.72 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Valkyries | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valkyries | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Valkyries | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Valkyries | 21c | 959.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Valkyries | 25c | 933.91$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.13 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Valkyries | 24c | 850.5$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.12 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Liberty | 74c | 704.44$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Valkyries | 19c | 678.44$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Valkyries | 22c | 664$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…4d56backed Valkyries | 21c | 625$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Valkyries | 23c | 477$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Valkyries | 21c | 408.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Valkyries | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Valkyries | 8c | 324.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Liberty | 79c | 233$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Valkyries | 22c | 223$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Valkyries | 21c | 220$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Liberty | 79c | 175$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Valkyries | 16c | 152.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Valkyries | 22c | 133$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Valkyries | 22c | 132$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Valkyries | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Valkyries | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Valkyries | 22c | 94.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Liberty | 75c | 92.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Valkyries | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Liberty | 69c | 72.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Valkyries | 22c | 69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…0ad4backed Valkyries | 45c | 54.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Valkyries | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Valkyries | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Valkyries | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…dfbdbacked Liberty | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Liberty | 68c | 24.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Liberty | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Liberty | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Liberty | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.