Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan Wolverines vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79f1da18e9699d0c640027b495ce710ccaccbfb250560d21ec7b94077f01a5c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan Wolverinesof Michigan Wolverines, Ohio State Buckeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 10c | 9,105$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.49 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 15c | 7,064$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 10c | 5,747$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.26 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 18c | 2,390$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.21 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 14c | 1,911$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.58 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 14c | 1,467$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.09 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 15c | 1,414$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.42 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 17c | 1,243$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.88 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 17c | 1,096$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.64 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 17c | 1,087$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 19c | 1,077$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 15c | 848.53$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 18c | 811.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 12c | 713.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 12c | 650$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 15c | 638$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 18c | 586.67$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 18c | 556$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 7c | 536.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 19c | 470$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 18c | 422.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 18c | 401.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 13c | 360$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 20c | 343.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 18c | 318.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 13c | 195.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 7c | 179.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 19c | 168$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…c44ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 11c | 163.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 10c | 163$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 19c | 138$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 17c | 114.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 14c | 101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 19c | 99.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…bc60backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 11c | 92.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 17c | 91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Michigan Wolverines | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 19c | 69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…05f2backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 19c | 51.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 80c | 45.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed Michigan Wolverines | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 78cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Ohio State Buckeyesthis page
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 159.5Under won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.