Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. OKSavingsBank BRION
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99a5a56e324d66bae2c7cf0945afa11089e8d5c018ff47d623f07be7dd259fc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, OKSavingsBank
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Dplus KIA | 75c | 25,557$19,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,396.36 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed OKSavingsBank | 12c | 11,111$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.32 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OKSavingsBank | 29c | 6,655$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.9 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed OKSavingsBank | 32c | 6,253$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.07 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0e…8a7ebacked OKSavingsBank | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644f…8bc9backed Dplus KIA | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked OKSavingsBank | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked OKSavingsBank | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 2,400$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed OKSavingsBank | 31c | 1,710$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.59 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked OKSavingsBank | 32c | 1,572$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed OKSavingsBank | 31c | 1,109$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.78 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed OKSavingsBank | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed OKSavingsBank | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Dplus KIA | 68c | 968.97$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.07 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed OKSavingsBank | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 551 | 45%248 W · 303 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked OKSavingsBank | 29c | 720.66$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.99 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Dplus KIA | 70c | 701.02$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.17 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Dplus KIA | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed OKSavingsBank | 29c | 699.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed OKSavingsBank | 13c | 633.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Dplus KIA | 70c | 484.17$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked Dplus KIA | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 370.55$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Dplus KIA | 69c | 320$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11dd…1bafbacked OKSavingsBank | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 292.86$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Dplus KIA | 72c | 292$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed OKSavingsBank | 31c | 261$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked OKSavingsBank | 31c | 259.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked OKSavingsBank | 16c | 250.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefc…79dbbacked OKSavingsBank | 14c | 249.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Dplus KIA | 70c | 215$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed OKSavingsBank | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed OKSavingsBank | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed OKSavingsBank | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed OKSavingsBank | 31c | 153.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dplus KIA | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed OKSavingsBank | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Dplus KIA | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed OKSavingsBank | 29c | 140.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Dplus KIA | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Dplus KIA | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed OKSavingsBank | 27c | 110.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked OKSavingsBank | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked Dplus KIA | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked Dplus KIA | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…264dbacked OKSavingsBank | 31c | 99.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed OKSavingsBank | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Dplus KIA | 77c | 80.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Dplus KIA | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 139 | 66.9%93 W · 46 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 75.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed OKSavingsBank | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked OKSavingsBank | 24c | 57.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Dplus KIA | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…99bebacked OKSavingsBank | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed OKSavingsBank | 31c | 43.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked OKSavingsBank | 31c | 34.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Dplus KIA | 70c | 27.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed5…5b04backed Dplus KIA | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.