Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Dplus KIA Challengers vs. Nongshim Esports Academy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d56d0db967a7891710e92a7ed1feda873a3679d9c66a64ee7f9fc7d595d09a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, Nongshim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Dplus KIA | 31c | 1,058$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Nongshim | 71c | 812.45$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.84 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Nongshim | 73c | 785.44$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.87 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Dplus KIA | 58c | 687.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.25 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nongshim | 74c | 522.64$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.53 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Dplus KIA | 59c | 415.89$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.89 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nongshim | 74c | 410$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.83 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Dplus KIA | 29c | 393.45$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.35 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Dplus KIA | 59c | 382.27$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.23 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Dplus KIA | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Dplus KIA | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Dplus KIA | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Dplus KIA | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Dplus KIA | 24c | 218.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.88 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nongshim | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Dplus KIA | 27c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nongshim | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Dplus KIA | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Dplus KIA | 34c | 146.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nongshim | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…cc32backed Nongshim | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Dplus KIA | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Nongshim | 24c | 79.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Dplus KIA | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Dplus KIA | 30c | 65.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Nongshim | 69c | 57.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Dplus KIA | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Nongshim | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Nongshim | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Nongshim | 77c | 19.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked Nongshim | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Dplus KIA | 76c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.