Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: BNK FearX Youth vs. DRX Challengers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4fc546941fb8bf577001be1f85a94fb19c1cc6e71f79ab023b22e8105342e02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DRXof BNK FearX, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed DRX | 45c | 6,310$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.29 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed BNK FearX | 55c | 5,385$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.8 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed DRX | 50c | 2,999$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.55 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked BNK FearX | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed BNK FearX | 58c | 1,801$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed BNK FearX | 56c | 1,074$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.19 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked DRX | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed DRX | 48c | 818$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed BNK FearX | 52c | 693.99$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked DRX | 41c | 665.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.94 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked BNK FearX | 51c | 602.33$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.33 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked BNK FearX | 11c | 569.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked BNK FearX | 48c | 492.9$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.41 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed BNK FearX | 53c | 425$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.26 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…ba5fbacked BNK FearX | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked DRX | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed BNK FearX | 52c | 355.15$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.74 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked BNK FearX | 58c | 344.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed DRX | 45c | 311$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked DRX | 41c | 284.31$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.74 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed BNK FearX | 60c | 283.84$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.3 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked DRX | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.81 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed DRX | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed BNK FearX | 56c | 216$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed DRX | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed BNK FearX | 23c | 195.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed BNK FearX | 58c | 173.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked DRX | 42c | 148.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked DRX | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed BNK FearX | 40c | 95.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed BNK FearX | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5412…cd68backed DRX | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DRX | 43c | 77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed BNK FearX | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed BNK FearX | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked DRX | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked DRX | 44c | 44.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed BNK FearX | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked BNK FearX | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.