Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Nongshim Esports Academy vs. Hanwha Life Esports Challengers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x484832eab758c9c0d359570ad72ffbeb0abd925e02bef539654a2bd466065aff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshimof Nongshim, Hanwha
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nongshim | 64c | 580.3$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Hanwha | 40c | 560.19$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.24 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Nongshim | 60c | 536.06$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.42 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hanwha | 39c | 463.93$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd0…652bbacked Hanwha | 46c | 295.27$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Hanwha | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Nongshim | 53c | 191.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nongshim | 55c | 188.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Nongshim | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Hanwha | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…51c6backed Nongshim | 62c | 105.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hanwha | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Hanwha | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…67f0backed Hanwha | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Nongshim | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Hanwha | 45c | 63.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Hanwha | 31c | 48.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…9947backed Nongshim | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.