Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. JD Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2a42aea477b136e79bb2fc1ac919c40794d0c821a538c3865a51cae764f7770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invictusof Invictus, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked JD Gaming | 28c | 26,535$7,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,429.84 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Invictus | 72c | 16,881$12,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,738.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed JD Gaming | 28c | 13,642$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.9 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…bf7bbacked Invictus | 72c | 12,997$9,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.19 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed JD Gaming | 20c | 12,057$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.86 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed JD Gaming | 25c | 8,635$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.52 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Invictus | 73c | 7,742$5,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.73 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed JD Gaming | 18c | 4,103$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.11 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked JD Gaming | 27c | 3,845$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed Invictus | 73c | 3,288$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.67 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed JD Gaming | 14c | 3,148$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.8 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed JD Gaming | 28c | 2,606$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.97 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Invictus | 72c | 2,372$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed JD Gaming | 31c | 1,766$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.51 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Invictus | 72c | 1,174$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.69 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked JD Gaming | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed JD Gaming | 15c | 1,023$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.25 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Invictus | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Invictus | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed JD Gaming | 19c | 975.19$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed JD Gaming | 10c | 968.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked JD Gaming | 6c | 957.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed JD Gaming | 27c | 779.81$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.55 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Invictus | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Invictus | 74c | 670$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked JD Gaming | 28c | 594$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Invictus | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Invictus | 76c | 525.71$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Invictus | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed JD Gaming | 4c | 493.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Invictus | 72c | 486.1$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed JD Gaming | 8c | 454.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Invictus | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed JD Gaming | 29c | 352.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed JD Gaming | 7c | 322.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Invictus | 72c | 305.56$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Invictus | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed Invictus | 72c | 285.48$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Invictus | 71c | 250$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Invictus | 73c | 249.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Invictus | 73c | 240$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Invictus | 72c | 223.9$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked JD Gaming | 26c | 223.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…cecbbacked JD Gaming | 22c | 208$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed JD Gaming | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed JD Gaming | 28c | 199.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd0…652bbacked JD Gaming | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed JD Gaming | 33c | 182.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked JD Gaming | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed JD Gaming | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked JD Gaming | 21c | 141.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Invictus | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed JD Gaming | 25c | 129.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed JD Gaming | 27c | 108.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked JD Gaming | 12c | 101.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Invictus | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8670…7c70backed Invictus | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Invictus | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Invictus | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…67f0backed JD Gaming | 24c | 82.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Invictus | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked JD Gaming | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…c747backed JD Gaming | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed JD Gaming | 27c | 53.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed JD Gaming | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked JD Gaming | 25c | 53.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Invictus | 69c | 51.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked JD Gaming | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Invictus | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked Invictus | 72c | 40.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed JD Gaming | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…99bebacked Invictus | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Invictus | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed Invictus | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.