Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc889a8a598f7b8de85b7f44d937b2bb316c398f896df8468cf1f091436ae7219
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof Ultra Prime, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Ultra Prime | 16c | 65,582$10,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,357.17 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…bf7bbacked NIP | 80c | 6,503$5,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.77 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Ultra Prime | 3c | 4,042$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked NIP | 77c | 1,977$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.57 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed NIP | 71c | 1,934$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.5 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Ultra Prime | 30c | 1,646$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Ultra Prime | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed NIP | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Ultra Prime | 13c | 1,035$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed NIP | 78c | 999.99$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Ultra Prime | 21c | 999.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Ultra Prime | 13c | 986.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ultra Prime | 18c | 960$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Ultra Prime | 13c | 928.16$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Ultra Prime | 8c | 869.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Ultra Prime | 21c | 800$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.55 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed NIP | 78c | 800$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Ultra Prime | 18c | 749.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Ultra Prime | 17c | 715.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked NIP | 78c | 650$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked NIP | 73c | 606.57$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.61 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed NIP | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Ultra Prime | 26c | 550$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.34 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed NIP | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked NIP | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Ultra Prime | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed NIP | 76c | 455$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed NIP | 78c | 384.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ultra Prime | 14c | 317.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed NIP | 78c | 313.73$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Ultra Prime | 13c | 260.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…a916backed NIP | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed NIP | 79c | 253.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked NIP | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Ultra Prime | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Ultra Prime | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed NIP | 75c | 160$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed NIP | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked NIP | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…445dbacked NIP | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Ultra Prime | 22c | 138.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked NIP | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…bd6fbacked Ultra Prime | 21c | 118.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked NIP | 77c | 117$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked NIP | 80c | 112.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 245 | 70.6%173 W · 72 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked NIP | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked NIP | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ultra Prime | 21c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed NIP | 79c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…315dbacked Ultra Prime | 32c | 57.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed NIP | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed NIP | 61c | 49.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed NIP | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked NIP | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed NIP | 79c | 35.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked NIP | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…786fbacked NIP | 71c | 23.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked NIP | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked Ultra Prime | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…cc32backed NIP | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.