WNBA · resolved market
Sparks vs Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b1e98b6e804f23c6d8e5ac6488c0b5858fb01fe61b36d5dac4bc31f61ea43d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sparksof Sparks, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Storm | 54c | 3,586$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.96 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sparks | 31c | 3,142$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.22 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Storm | 66c | 2,453$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.15 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Storm | 57c | 2,450$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Sparks | 35c | 2,330$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Storm | 56c | 1,968$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.71 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Sparks | 35c | 1,625$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Storm | 63c | 1,129$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.56 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Storm | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sparks | 48c | 984.91$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.51 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Storm | 39c | 953.3$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.2 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sparks | 55c | 586.09$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.89 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Storm | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Sparks | 32c | 479$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.42 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…4e2abacked Sparks | 42c | 417.17$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Storm | 67c | 403.35$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Storm | 39c | 387.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.09 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Sparks | 31c | 309.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.37 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sparks | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.95 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Storm | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sparks | 35c | 285.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sparks | 35c | 283.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.11 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sparks | 54c | 239.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Sparks | 36c | 230$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Storm | 65c | 223.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sparks | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sparks | 34c | 185.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Storm | 10c | 170.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Sparks | 76c | 153$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Sparks | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Storm | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sparks | 36c | 126.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Storm | 66c | 125.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Storm | 65c | 107.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Storm | 68c | 106.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sparks | 34c | 101.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Storm | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Storm | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Storm | 67c | 66.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Sparks | 39c | 63.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sparks | 30c | 57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Storm | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…b8e9backed Sparks | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Storm | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Sparks | 32c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68b1…c3a0backed Sparks | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Storm | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Storm | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Storm | 65c | 29.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Storm | 48c | 28.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Storm | 65c | 21.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…b1fdbacked Storm | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Storm | 68c | 19.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Sparks | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.