WNBA · resolved market
Liberty vs Fever
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x700aa449497bfc9697a2c764ee822dfc861c11bf83e192ce8dd791dee1c72d90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Liberty, Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Liberty | 66c | 8,774$5,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,761.13 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Liberty | 63c | 7,741$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fever | 34c | 5,270$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.46 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Fever | 35c | 5,197$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Fever | 38c | 3,743$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.86 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fever | 36c | 3,271$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.91 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Liberty | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Liberty | 65c | 2,063$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.16 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fever | 52c | 1,917$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.69 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fever | 35c | 1,589$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.11 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Fever | 32c | 1,575$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.89 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Fever | 37c | 1,090$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Liberty | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Liberty | 55c | 707.54$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.04 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Fever | 35c | 696.92$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +113%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fever | 34c | 638.77$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.2 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Liberty | 65c | 620.6$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.18 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Fever | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Fever | 39c | 489$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.29 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Fever | 34c | 450$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.95 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Liberty | 67c | 344$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fever | 35c | 286$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fever | 37c | 272.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Liberty | 52c | 263.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.23 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Liberty | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Fever | 33c | 214$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.38 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Fever | 33c | 202.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.83 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Fever | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Liberty | 57c | 181.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Liberty | 11c | 172.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Fever | 37c | 125.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Fever | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Fever | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Fever | 33c | 99.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Liberty | 23c | 94.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Liberty | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fever | 36c | 86.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Liberty | 62c | 81.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Fever | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Fever | 36c | 79.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Fever | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Liberty | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Liberty | 62c | 41.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…c530backed Fever | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Liberty | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Fever | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Fever | 75c | 18.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.