NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19cd5e69bf27b4617cfcc858c9154b53317b0039677a46b2f425466a59987546
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Over | 49c | 9,739$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.02 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Under | 51c | 8,888$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.87 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Over | 52c | 4,143$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.64 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 3,895$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.36 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 3,481$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Over | 51c | 2,906$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.15 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Under | 49c | 1,714$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.84 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 49c | 914.42$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.07 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 910$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.66 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 880$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.36 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 251$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…862dbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Under | 53c | 113.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb7…8d07backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…7a7dbacked Over | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5this page
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. PistonsPistons won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.