Euroleague · resolved market
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf282419c45bba028c2b5236d5e53b104a2709ee72d4a7b77d522d02260a466b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zalgiris Kaunasof Zalgiris Kaunas, ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 20c | 2,301$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.43 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 79c | 2,000$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.55 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 78c | 1,749$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.97 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 1,400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 499.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 78c | 377.6$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 369.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 78c | 369.26$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 23c | 319.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 23c | 232.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 77c | 230.19$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 23c | 195$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 125.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…9dfebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 78c | 88.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…48cabacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 21c | 76.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…2b90backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 78c | 66.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 80c | 25.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…84bcbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.