Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3949b2afdb5bb98831c025ca9f33ac71b65b14ebcf03e8284e3b5009e5dc63c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 26c | 801.91$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 74c | 573.21$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 27c | 543.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 27c | 439.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 16c | 299.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 75c | 247$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 74c | 201.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 24c | 149.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…f790backed Over | 21c | 141.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Under | 74c | 102.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Over | 26c | 94.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 73c | 90.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 75c | 65.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 73c | 64.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 75c | 54.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Over | 25c | 51.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 23c | 43.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.