South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9981a820cd83632951fcf00dd343799194f5890d28ea62cb4fa64c1804fe70c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 50c | 6,054$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.94 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 3,552$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed No | 54c | 1,722$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed No | 53c | 1,660$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 46c | 1,299$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.71 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 53c | 625.94$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.23 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 35c | 471.43$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.43 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 393.85$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.19 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 47c | 375.37$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.33 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 353.41$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 47c | 344.94$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.82 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 53c | 330.21$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked No | 53c | 320.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 292.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.59 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 273.28$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.05 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 44c | 204.87$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.73 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 11c | 132$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 46c | 124.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d94…541abacked No | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 47c | 120.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 51c | 119.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 50c | 100.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 97.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 53c | 75.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 52c | 65.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 49c | 60.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 53.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 52c | 52.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 53c | 43.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 49c | 40.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 34.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked No | 55c | 24.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 53c | 22.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 54c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Yes | 63c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Club Olimpia won
- Spread: Club Olimpia (-1.5)Club Olimpia won
- Spread: Club Olimpia (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.