South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96ff1172a63ada7b15c72a941b61953e62d4057b83012bd5e2c895263414e691
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 23c | 9,563$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,380.58 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 5,556$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.96 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 22c | 5,193$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.07 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 78c | 3,200$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.15 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 77c | 2,016$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.09 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 77c | 1,968$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.06 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 19c | 1,356$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.28 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 30c | 1,317$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.05 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 1,302$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.03 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 23c | 1,109$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.53 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 78c | 949.99$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.35 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 78c | 917.99$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.71 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 22c | 794.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.89 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 79c | 538.07$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.85 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 72c | 500$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 78c | 416$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.48 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 78c | 411.29$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.81 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 20c | 330.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.08 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Under | 7c | 299.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 22c | 295$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.15 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 19c | 289.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 76c | 230$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 20c | 210$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 77c | 162$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 21c | 158$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 18c | 138.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.87 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 79c | 109.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Under | 74c | 65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 45c | 56.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 79c | 42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Under | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 425 | 62.4%265 W · 160 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Under | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 79c | 15.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 79c | 15.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Club Olimpia won
- Spread: Club Olimpia (-1.5)Club Olimpia won
- Spread: Club Olimpia (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.