South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89d888918462f56e5f9913fa6e4f50ef01fe7dd32572ba70702fb49cd2bae97a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 3,000$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 2,663$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.17 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 2,081$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 75c | 1,773$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.2 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Over | 43c | 1,701$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.14 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 43c | 1,681$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Under | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 58c | 703.98$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.31 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 67c | 607.87$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.26 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 71c | 541.98$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.06 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 495.04$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 479.72$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.44 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 471$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.47 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 47c | 390$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 60c | 389.49$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.76 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 385.24$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.75 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 38c | 368$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.16 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Over | 75c | 355.61$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 8c | 310.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 25c | 300$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.06 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 285.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 266.62$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 57c | 261.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…776dbacked Over | 49c | 252.6$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 58c | 223$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 30c | 160$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Under | 69c | 140.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 18c | 132$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 30c | 117.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 43c | 113.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 35c | 99.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 55c | 79.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…d8a7backed Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 34c | 73.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 49c | 51.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…8380backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Under | 63c | 45.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 32c | 44.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 35c | 39.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 77c | 39.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 55c | 36.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 30c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0358…30e2backed Under | 77c | 26.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 66c | 20.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 69c | 20.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 62c | 19.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 56c | 19.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 53c | 19.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Club Olimpia won
- Spread: Club Olimpia (-1.5)Club Olimpia won
- Spread: Club Olimpia (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.