Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rio Ave FC vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7330fb3fc8f0595303f66a60c2ebbed4918c60b6d4a5e4211627d04c8c7c090d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 1,746$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.15 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 1,423$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.43 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 70c | 1,017$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 42c | 785.46$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.09 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 642.44$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.64 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 50c | 603.24$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.34 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 2c | 506.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed No | 27c | 460$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 49c | 393.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 209.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 37c | 178.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 66c | 177.2$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933d…4118backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 73c | 137.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 132.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 35c | 130.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 50c | 120.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 67c | 112$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 41c | 111.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 34c | 110.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 101$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 61c | 96.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Yes | 54c | 91.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 47c | 72.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 30c | 69.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 65c | 63.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…a663backed Yes | 65c | 61.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 39c | 53.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 50.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 53c | 47.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 73c | 46.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed No | 52c | 44.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 59c | 42.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 44c | 38.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked No | 51c | 36.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 74c | 36.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba2…b6e5backed Yes | 68c | 29.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 52c | 26.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 63c | 25.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 24.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 67c | 20.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed Yes | 77c | 19.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 71c | 17.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…76bfbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rio Ave FC vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.