Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ead3d835aa9e43525ee6e0ea53e736eb827c58ae3154761f6719cbc4d868fee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 78c | 4,792$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.05 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 11c | 2,870$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.74 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 2,338$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.73 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 19c | 1,055$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 676.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 654.22$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 15c | 554.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 22c | 499.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 493.4$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 79c | 400$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Yes | 22c | 304.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 18c | 280.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6de1backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 24c | 199.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 75c | 190$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 21c | 160.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 20c | 141.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 141.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 18c | 113.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 21c | 109.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 13c | 107.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 79c | 107.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 87.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 23c | 86.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 77c | 79.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 80c | 67.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 21c | 61.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 18c | 60.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 59.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Yes | 21c | 57.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 21c | 54.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 21c | 54.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Yes | 23c | 49.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 48.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 40.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 78c | 32.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 78c | 29.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 76c | 26.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 78c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 20.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 80c | 19.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 80c | 19.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 80c | 19.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 78c | 19.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 19.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 78c | 17.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 77c | 16.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 76c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will Rio Ave FC vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.