South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef5bf08248e30f629de732cabfc31be232c65701ecfdb8c1633ade294ca215c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 3,355$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.14 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 2,761$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 32c | 2,349$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.05 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed Under | 63c | 2,302$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 24c | 2,002$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.28 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 53c | 803.41$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.36 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Under | 59c | 594.62$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…0923backed Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 327.82$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…fcfabacked Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 44c | 278.92$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Under | 80c | 231.25$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Under | 56c | 230.47$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 57c | 202.61$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 155.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Under | 56c | 142.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 120.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7549…c7e8backed Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Under | 56c | 103.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ca…a0c5backed Over | 60c | 91.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Under | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 62c | 74.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 62c | 64.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…d892backed Over | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 46c | 56.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 30c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 49c | 51.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 41c | 50.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Under | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 31c | 43.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 61c | 32.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Over | 49c | 24.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 61c | 16.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…4b6dbacked Under | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 2.5this page
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: LDU de Quito (-2.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.