Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe505b34dacc8ce87fbcfdc68f96c7cacdfc4cb870a336c39d1e05054aed88df8

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,502
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $16,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,502 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x336b…1233backed No	39c	6,811$2,686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,124.61	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	60c	6,129$3,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,705.64	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No	40c	2,946$1,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,770.12	292	32.9%96 W · 196 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	38c	2,000$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,239.96	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5044…f67fbacked Yes	62c	1,000$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	38c	999.9$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.94	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Yes	61c	491.8$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	104	32.7%34 W · 70 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc11b…a213backed Yes	62c	483.87$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-6.8wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes	61c	350$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.5	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Yes	59c	334.02$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.07	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	62c	280$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.6	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Yes	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No	40c	200$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes	62c	199.25$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.54	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	38c	196.97$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.74	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cff…72f4backed Yes	62c	172.45$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.92	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed No	41c	170.78$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.46	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	115	66.1%76 W · 39 L	+10.8wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcafc…09ffbacked Yes	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa1…2242backed Yes	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c41…eeb9backed Yes	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	80	26.3%21 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	+6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfd71…011cbacked Yes	61c	163.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	79	31.6%25 W · 54 L	-5.2wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes	61c	162.66$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No	39c	150$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.5	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x512a…d537backed Yes	60c	148.55$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.13	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No	39c	128$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.08	154	49.4%76 W · 78 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa1…36f6backed Yes	62c	110.99$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.81	81	53.1%43 W · 38 L	-6.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	40c	110.38$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.23	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	43c	109.58$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.91	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes	60c	101.21$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.73	184	65.8%121 W · 63 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	39c	100$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	67c	99.52$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.2	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	37c	97.78$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.6	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a15…dcf6backed Yes	62c	95.48$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.2	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	120	36.7%44 W · 76 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes	60c	83.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	432	46.8%202 W · 230 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7c…ebb4backed Yes	60c	82.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfbe…ccebbacked Yes	62c	81.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb417…6d8fbacked Yes	62c	80.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes	63c	79.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	206	49.5%102 W · 104 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…4a7dbacked Yes	60c	71.65$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.99	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…0a64backed Yes	61c	65.57$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+6.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes	61c	63.93$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+5.0wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes	56c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes	60c	58.33$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	140	47.9%67 W · 73 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bda…7da1backed Yes	61c	57.38$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes	61c	57.38$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	235	44.7%105 W · 130 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…eacfbacked Yes	61c	55.74$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51fc…ed09backed Yes	59c	54.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.44	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	-6.0wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-29%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf511…bfe4backed Yes	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	145	79.3%115 W · 30 L	+17.0wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5080…d89abacked Yes	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b3…d2a0backed Yes	75c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes	61c	49.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	141	27.7%39 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	47c	48.79$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.99	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddbd…d26cbacked Yes	62c	48.76$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bed…90b7backed Yes	62c	48.39$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No	45c	47.55$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.97	126	57.1%72 W · 54 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No	54c	47$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.62	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes	59c	46.51$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.66	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No	44c	43$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.08	62	27.4%17 W · 45 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6af5…7d3ebacked Yes	60c	41.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b6b…d677backed Yes	60c	41$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-4.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x944a…19fabacked Yes	62c	39.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.58	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3008…ca48backed Yes	61c	35.67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.76	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa03b…7483backed Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	97	55.7%54 W · 43 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb078…289ebacked Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	207	56%116 W · 91 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes	56c	32.82$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.38	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…c8f4backed Yes	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+11.5wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad06…1933backed Yes	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab24…ec46backed Yes	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+4.4wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	61c	32.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7abd…25aabacked Yes	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-4.6wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f3f…8728backed Yes	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60f1…dc7cbacked Yes	62c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	184	41.8%77 W · 107 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Yes	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	72	50%36 W · 36 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9808…5cfdbacked Yes	62c	25.81$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	150	62.7%94 W · 56 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf70d…17d3backed Yes	59c	25.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes	61c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.13	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa409…82bdbacked No	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No	41c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.75	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f0c…a3b4backed Yes	61c	24.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes	63c	23.81$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	133	57.1%76 W · 57 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Yes	61c	22.11$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.51	205	61%125 W · 80 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee8…ae98backed Yes	56c	21.56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…a2d5backed Yes	63c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	157	58%91 W · 66 L	+9.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7362…a4c1backed Yes	62c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0736…99eebacked Yes	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c1…c952backed Yes	76c	19.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.22per pick	42cpaid	+118.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6b0…f9cbbacked Yes	60c	18.63$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd50b…2f40backed Yes	61c	18.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7079…58e8backed Yes	61c	17.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+30%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4de0…869fbacked Yes	62c	17$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event