Fifa International · resolved market
Dani Olmo: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76c966b553c3c9f942893a67bdd2001ad5a9caad29f898e4bb1522be2c1a35ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 65c | 460.97$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.95 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 31c | 282$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 71c | 206.38$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 38c | 144.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 79c | 86.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 69c | 85.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 21c | 78.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…748cbacked No | 80c | 62.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 53.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 29c | 49.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 46.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 37c | 32.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 277 | 29.2%81 W · 196 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 61c | 25.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7970…3595backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +801.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dailon Livramento: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Fabián Ruiz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gavi Paez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Gavi Paez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gavi Paez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marcos Llorente: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ assistsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rodri: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.