Fifa International · resolved market
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x946f749507ae0840447ac70085c3ea79d4625adcb8450e5d028c3aca0cd821dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036b…ead4backed No | 68c | 983.59$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 326.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 67c | 323.18$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 58c | 301.14$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 33c | 288.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked No | 64c | 269.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 39c | 267.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…ad4cbacked Yes | 42c | 238.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked No | 62c | 199.39$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 27c | 185.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 66c | 142.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…0aa5backed Yes | 38c | 130.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27d…f58cbacked Yes | 42c | 119.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 114.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 59c | 82.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abd…25aabacked Yes | 43c | 70.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 65c | 57.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…eec3backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Yes | 37c | 56.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes | 37c | 54.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8919…0688backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…898ebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2d…048ebacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5691…b50dbacked Yes | 42c | 48.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 33c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 67c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 37c | 44.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 38c | 35.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 277 | 29.2%81 W · 196 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Yes | 43c | 27.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd26d…2ad6backed No | 59c | 25.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 60c | 22.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assiststhis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dailon Livramento: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Fabián Ruiz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gavi Paez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Gavi Paez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gavi Paez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marcos Llorente: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ assistsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rodri: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.