Pedri: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f88b01efae994bbd5d1b8435215e3958f91089f84924f0bb6d51789e4228d1f

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,652 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5452…d448backed No	75c	1,160$871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.99	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	77c	999.92$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.98	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	70c	657.06$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.37	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbd…a3a4backed Yes	30c	411.23$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Yes	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes	23c	256.52$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	105	25.7%27 W · 78 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfef9…f2b5backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No	80c	181.01$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.39	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda8…fc16backed Yes	30c	167.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-4.0wins	-0.17per pick	26cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes	25c	160$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	90	33.3%30 W · 60 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes	23c	153.41$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.28	271	54.6%148 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	73c	150.86$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.26	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No	77c	140$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.2	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes	30c	131.28$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c8…af60backed Yes	23c	131.04$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.14	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No	76c	114.94$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.05	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No	77c	109.99$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.3	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes	23c	108.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes	23c	103.04$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	115	26.1%30 W · 85 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa27d…f58cbacked Yes	30c	101.42$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	20c	97.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb62d…3756backed Yes	23c	90.13$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.73	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	23c	84.39$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f2…1652backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	130	37.7%49 W · 81 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	76c	79.99$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4068…f40cbacked Yes	22c	78.51$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	72c	72.09$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51fc…ed09backed Yes	27c	55.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	-6.0wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-29%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	164	18.9%31 W · 133 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	74c	40.64$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.75	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	107	34.6%37 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No	77c	30.39$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.99	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	78c	26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.65	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	172	71.5%123 W · 49 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No	78c	14.94$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.23	454	72.9%331 W · 123 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pedri: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event