Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89ea66282b9d38bc21d6b39ec17756e60cbb4692488f925724f601022de37685
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 12,850$8,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,142.16 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 8,231$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,853.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 58c | 5,800$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 5,471$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.98 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 57c | 4,500$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.96 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 3,982$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.48 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 32c | 3,926$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.68 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…cc57backed Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…3fd2backed Yes | 15c | 2,048$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.62 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 1,928$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.04 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 51c | 1,890$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.08 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 58c | 1,872$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.02 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 1,751$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.1 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 36c | 1,548$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.58 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 74c | 1,510$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.6 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 57c | 1,458$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.14 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,436$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.98 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 42c | 1,374$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.39 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 56c | 1,220$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.67 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 51c | 1,099$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.13 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 44c | 993.27$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.38 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 17c | 876.95$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.87 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 22c | 861.81$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 70c | 811.58$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.87 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 707.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…cedfbacked Yes | 43c | 684.49$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…6129backed Yes | 18c | 668.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.09 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 46c | 636.55$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.62 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…1e00backed Yes | 8c | 553.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.39 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 11c | 529.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.17 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 58c | 529.13$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.07 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed No | 58c | 506.38$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.7 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 495.28$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.46 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 43c | 484.21$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…e818backed Yes | 17c | 457.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.76 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…ba5dbacked Yes | 17c | 444.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.67 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed No | 61c | 441.75$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.55 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 43c | 400$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 25c | 368.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…00f9backed Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 6c | 344.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 52c | 343.02$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.48 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Yes | 7c | 325$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…daa8backed Yes | 44c | 316.32$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.14 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 57c | 316.17$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.93 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 57c | 300.21$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…fba4backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Yes | 44c | 279.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 282 | 57.1%161 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…5676backed Yes | 24c | 275$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…8454backed No | 13c | 258.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…6cdcbacked Yes | 78c | 256.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 14c | 235.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.15 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe305…ca0fbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 42c | 222.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Yes | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…29d9backed No | 57c | 220$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 23c | 205.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 50c | 186.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 55c | 183.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…4647backed Yes | 61c | 181.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 56c | 160.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…3ebfbacked Yes | 76c | 149.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…c098backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…82c9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +201.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd697…def2backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378f…a862backed No | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 119.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…79c4backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…b2dcbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…2995backed No | 12c | 116.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 72c | 112$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Yes | 55c | 107.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…da90backed No | 56c | 103$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…e3babacked No | 58c | 102$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 43c | 101.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?this page
- Croatia leading at halftime?No won
- England leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.