Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cf840ea3177d85695c1829411b6b8dd6cd82d573f9e1bb4391a695bbd763f51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 62c | 20,394$12,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,643.73 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 38c | 14,601$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,045.71 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 62c | 14,000$8,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,729.96 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 11,019$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,745.74 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 10,728$5,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,602.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,960 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 5,487$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.27 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 4,305$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…4f71backed Yes | 39c | 3,590$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 63c | 3,500$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 9c | 3,038$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.84 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 37c | 2,833$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.79 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 62c | 2,828$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.73 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…3de6backed Yes | 37c | 2,162$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.16 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 1,744$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.32 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 1,726$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.67 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 62c | 1,694$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.26 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 37c | 1,614$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.89 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 62c | 1,557$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.25 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…b83abacked Yes | 37c | 1,532$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.9 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,500$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 37c | 1,376$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.62 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 62c | 1,083$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.97 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 37c | 1,024$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.32 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 62c | 960$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.2 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.05 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 38c | 787.76$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.41 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 40c | 699.68$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.66 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 52c | 662.52$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.02 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 653.06$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.54 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 66c | 600$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.52 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 38c | 549.68$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.8 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…4390backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked No | 62c | 499.94$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.96 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 37c | 475.68$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.68 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 15c | 470.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 53c | 408.56$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…69ccbacked Yes | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 329.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.32 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…8656backed Yes | 37c | 283.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.31 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Yes | 40c | 270.54$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.32 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…bf86backed Yes | 37c | 268.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.33 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…0953backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 249.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 41c | 244.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Yes | 38c | 228.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.95 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 42c | 227.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.85 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 7c | 223.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…0015backed Yes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e0…8f89backed Yes | 37c | 186.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.7 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 62c | 181.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…8a59backed Yes | 37c | 180$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ab…7479backed Yes | 38c | 175.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7a…222dbacked Yes | 38c | 153.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda55…1534backed Yes | 39c | 147.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 142.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Yes | 38c | 128.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…5560backed Yes | 37c | 128.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 37c | 127.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 38c | 115$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed No | 37c | 104.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…7469backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked Yes | 37c | 102.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes | 37c | 101$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 63c | 101$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…8e7dbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed No | 64c | 96.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…07c4backed Yes | 37c | 80.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…8dc6backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…2777backed Yes | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 77c | 73.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes | 43c | 65.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…b919backed Yes | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 38c | 54.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2275…4617backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9d06backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e9…00f8backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03f…ae7ebacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7b…2564backed Yes | 38c | 50.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb056…bc8dbacked Yes | 37c | 48.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…ad3abacked No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Yes | 38c | 46.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123c…9137backed Yes | 38c | 43.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked No | 62c | 42.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…cf06backed Yes | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…c624backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…603cbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden leading at halftime?this page
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Draw at halftime?No won
- Tunisia leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.