Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e5e4b808478fb37918c8155c956bcd4cbef41a2f7abfd4054d8586e468c31fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 11,671$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 46c | 2,392$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.24 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 55c | 2,118$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.41 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 77c | 1,394$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 45c | 1,330$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.39 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 54c | 1,083$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.16 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…9519backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 727.75$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.39 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 540.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 54c | 506.53$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 11c | 443.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…ea2ebacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 264.62$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 185.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 45c | 147$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…afedbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 47c | 121.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 44c | 118.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…2dc4backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Yes | 45c | 108.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…f915backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…8961backed Yes | 45c | 102.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…6a54backed Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…c387backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…a067backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840c…7450backed Yes | 20c | 55.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed No | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…7dedbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x619d…5b81backed Yes | 45c | 32.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…1ff8backed No | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 56c | 22.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 77c | 22.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Draw at halftime?this page
- Sweden leading at halftime?Yes won
- Tunisia leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.