Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0734046a27c516a8f36fd929043eeb027e958373651556eea7c7a55288df891b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.98 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Yes | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 3,844$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.79 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 3,333$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.88 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 34c | 3,275$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.67 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 67c | 2,501$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.94 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 32c | 2,468$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.81 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 33c | 1,848$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.78 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 24c | 1,537$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.95 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 66c | 1,392$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.64 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 862.41$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 33c | 767.96$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.43 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 29c | 753.35$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.54 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 67c | 621.19$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 78c | 548.2$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…7c28backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 33c | 247.65$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 66c | 242.35$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 66c | 216$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Yes | 67c | 203.35$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 15c | 188.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 34c | 184.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 66c | 151.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…7f05backed Yes | 67c | 150.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…e544backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…dbe9backed Yes | 68c | 147.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Yes | 77c | 143.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 66c | 133.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 15c | 91.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…d481backed Yes | 66c | 88.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 67c | 73.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Yes | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…a220backed Yes | 66c | 57.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…650bbacked Yes | 77c | 54.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 20c | 52.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f63…5dc6backed Yes | 66c | 48.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed No | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Yes | 67c | 41.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed No | 35c | 36.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…4907backed Yes | 67c | 32.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…2c2fbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 66c | 29.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 66c | 29.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 77c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 67c | 18.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Yes | 66c | 18.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 71c | 17.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Yes | 67c | 17.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 66c | 16.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-07-26?No won
- Will IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.