TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over44c18,770$8,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,263.5718923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c9,555$5,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,770.512,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under55c7,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.9921058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over45c3,334$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3503354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under55c2,223$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.454351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c2,188$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.811,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under55c1,486$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.5712657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over45c1,222$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over45c1,010$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.57749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over39c947.05$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.323348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over45c888.89$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c865.77$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.6532650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under55c799.96$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over35c722.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under55c719.97$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9836456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over36c700$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060%0 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under55c631.33$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.13953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under66c593.59$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under55c439.77$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.92650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under59c322.15$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1356731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b3…8d3dbacked Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1177740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c296.67$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c273.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.365254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503119.4%6 W · 25 L-7.1wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-56.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.539354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.271877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+59.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over31c195.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.52825%7 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under55c190.9$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9121548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over37c162.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.863333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over45c151.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.184339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c151$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9542347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under55c144.29$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.932429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Over11c138.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7072…d945backed Over45c134.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked Over26c107.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce7…cfaabacked Over45c104.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under55c104.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4732854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under56c101.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.792065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under56c101$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4441854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4512357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4515354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over53c94.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508523.5%20 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Over45c91.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2910456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1744…b131backed Over45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611255.4%62 W · 50 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c5c…1cf7backed Over41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Over44c79.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.181457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over39c78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.426552.3%34 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfb5…8740backed Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under55c74.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7517955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under60c72.01$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.984156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over44c67.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308856.8%50 W · 38 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.033243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under56c58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.527646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over45c51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under55c50.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.53455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under56c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked Under73c47.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.988100%8 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b1…b470backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick31cpaid+105.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under65c44.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under57c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9211547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Under58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under56c42.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.868159.3%48 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182030%6 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under62c33.47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6611360.2%68 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf4…b52ebacked Over45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Over45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…1d3abacked Over44c29.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.19825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-61.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under55c28.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6513447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over44c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8826040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over45c26.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.121145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Under56c26.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.723154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over45c25.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.591631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-37.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8589…bd9cbacked Over45c24.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under64c24.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7643058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Over45c22.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.