TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c3,998$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.751,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Yes33c3,138$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.542544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed No64c1,352$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+61.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes34c1,330$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.213419.4%26 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c1,324$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.771,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes36c1,294$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.9510634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes35c712.29$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.311551.3%59 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c637.36$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.534,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No64c635.62$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c630.16$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.862,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes36c630$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.89751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes43c336.32$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442050%10 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+75%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No65c308.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.836459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Yes50c300.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010361.2%63 W · 40 L+13.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c271.67$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.875451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Yes36c219.93$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No64c219$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8428045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No66c163.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.191,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes66c137.12$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.477750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Yes67c134.66$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9060%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes38c130.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4316250.6%82 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ad…2e9abacked Yes37c120.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No64c112.56$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5269750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No64c108.43$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0314146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No64c108.27$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8822455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No64c108.27$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8840357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No34c106.67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8915444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No66c101$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8492254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511840.7%48 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.12955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3322740.1%91 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No67c85.22$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.126377.8%49 W · 14 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf449…4854backed Yes36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No34c79.56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5720241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes16c79.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312330.1%37 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes35c79.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.473,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes34c71.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410937.6%41 W · 68 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes27c70$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.941348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511656.9%66 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No34c67.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4221139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No66c66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.441,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b45…9f5bbacked Yes64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes36c57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5230842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcca0…3738backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes38c50.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.028342.2%35 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes36c49.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.997949.4%39 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed Yes34c49.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.892065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked No64c49.69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.892259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156717.9%12 W · 55 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-44.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Yes36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked No35c39.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.044247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes36c38.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7417842.1%75 W · 103 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed No68c33.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.864944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed No66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.327055.2%149 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25232.7%17 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No62c29.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4563553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No65c28.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.067960.8%48 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No66c26.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9916860.1%101 W · 67 L-0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked No51c24.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.