Tennis · resolved market
Milan: Daniel Rincon vs Jacopo Vasami
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf127c36ab3e1ebc9c12b3fd9e4958b0fd174af8bdb4accbe9f2fbf176c8ecdb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Rinconof Daniel Rincon, Jacopo Vasami
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jacopo Vasami | 11c | 7,737$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jacopo Vasami | 57c | 1,187$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.68 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Daniel Rincon | 70c | 807.65$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.66 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Rincon | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jacopo Vasami | 6c | 468$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Jacopo Vasami | 17c | 378.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Jacopo Vasami | 47c | 368.21$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.06 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jacopo Vasami | 34c | 346.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jacopo Vasami | 58c | 291.94$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.95 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Daniel Rincon | 66c | 214.88$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jacopo Vasami | 61c | 199.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Jacopo Vasami | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jacopo Vasami | 15c | 183$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Daniel Rincon | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Daniel Rincon | 75c | 134.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Daniel Rincon | 51c | 128$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Jacopo Vasami | 42c | 118.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Daniel Rincon | 56c | 113.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Daniel Rincon | 34c | 112.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Jacopo Vasami | 57c | 111.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Daniel Rincon | 72c | 108.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniel Rincon | 37c | 108.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…425fbacked Jacopo Vasami | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Daniel Rincon | 57c | 101.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jacopo Vasami | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Jacopo Vasami | 60c | 94.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Daniel Rincon | 43c | 92.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jacopo Vasami | 21c | 92.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Daniel Rincon | 44c | 91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Daniel Rincon | 43c | 90.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Jacopo Vasami | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Jacopo Vasami | 54c | 89.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Jacopo Vasami | 26c | 86.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Daniel Rincon | 42c | 85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Jacopo Vasami | 35c | 71.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…18a2backed Jacopo Vasami | 42c | 70.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jacopo Vasami | 62c | 68.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Daniel Rincon | 43c | 66.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Daniel Rincon | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Rincon | 59c | 62.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Daniel Rincon | 56c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Daniel Rincon | 40c | 54.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Jacopo Vasami | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Jacopo Vasami | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Jacopo Vasami | 52c | 47.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Daniel Rincon | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Jacopo Vasami | 54c | 45.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Jacopo Vasami | 57c | 44.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Jacopo Vasami | 41c | 41.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jacopo Vasami | 56c | 39.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Jacopo Vasami | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Daniel Rincon | 41c | 37.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Rincon | 43c | 36.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…b70dbacked Daniel Rincon | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jacopo Vasami | 46c | 33.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Jacopo Vasami | 51c | 31.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed Daniel Rincon | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Daniel Rincon | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Jacopo Vasami | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jacopo Vasami | 46c | 28.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Jacopo Vasami | 52c | 27.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Jacopo Vasami | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.